Opinion polling for the 2019 Indian general election

From Bharatpedia, an open encyclopedia
Information red.svg
Scan the QR code to donate via UPI
Dear reader, We need your support to keep the flame of knowledge burning bright! Our hosting server bill is due on June 1st, and without your help, Bharatpedia faces the risk of shutdown. We've come a long way together in exploring and celebrating our rich heritage. Now, let's unite to ensure Bharatpedia continues to be a beacon of knowledge for generations to come. Every contribution, big or small, makes a difference. Together, let's preserve and share the essence of Bharat.

Thank you for being part of the Bharatpedia family!
Please scan the QR code on the right click here to donate.

0%

   

transparency: ₹0 raised out of ₹100,000 (0 supporter)


In the run up to the Indian general election, 2019, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the Jan 2018 to April 2019. Many organisations have gone on to conduct exit polls and post-poll surveys as well, which too are displayed.

Background[edit]

Opinion polls in India can be controversial. These charges include partisan manipulation.[1]

Opinion poll methodology has heavily improved and agencies like CSDS have got it absolutely correct on 16 occasions, roughly correct on 7 occasions and wrong on 4 occasions.[2]

Post-poll surveys, widely published, are fundamentally different from opinion polls.[3]

Opinion polling[edit]

<section begin=Opinion polling />

Number of seats projected in opinion polls per alliance over time.
Indian General Election Trends - 2019

Various organisations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in India. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held in April and May 2014, to the present day. The ECI banned the release of exit polls from 11 April to 19 May, the last phase of the elections.[4] The commission also banned the publication or broadcast in the media of predictions made by astrologers and tarot card readers.[5]<section begin="Opinionpolltable" />

Poll type Date published Polling agency Others Majority Ref
NDA UPA
Exit polls India Today-Axis 352 ± 13 93 ± 15 82 ± 13 70 ± 13 [6]
News24-Today's Chanakya 350 ± 14 95 ± 9 97 ± 11 68 ± 14 [7]
News18-IPSOS
CNN-IBN-IPSOS
336 82 124 64 [8][9]
VDP Associates 333 115 94 61 [10]
Sudarshan News 313 121 109 41 [11]
Times Now-VMR 306 ± 3 132 ± 3 104 ± 3 34 ± 3 [12]
Republic-Jan Ki Baat 305 124 113 33 [13]
Suvarna News 305 124 102 33 [11]
India TV-CNX 300 ± 10 120 ± 5 122 ± 6 28 ± 10 [14]
India News-Polstrat 287 128 127 15 [15]
Republic-CVoter 287 128 127 15 [9]
News Nation 286 122 134 14 [16]
ABP-CSDS 277 130 135 5 [6]
NewsX-Neta 242 164 137 Hung [9]
Opinion polls 8 April 2019 Times Now-VMR 279 149 115 7 [17]
6 April 2019 India TV-CNX 275 126 142 3 [18]
1 Feb – 4 April 2019 Jan Ki Baat 310 122 111 38 [19]
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR 283 135 125 11 [20]
Mar 2019 News Nation 270 134 139 Hung [21]
Mar 2019 Republic-CVoter 264 141 138 Hung [22]
Mar 2019 India TV-CNX 285 126 132 13 [23]
Mar 2019 Zee 24 Taas 264 165 114 Hung [24]
Feb 2019 VDP Associates 242 148 153 Hung [25]
Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR 252 147 144 Hung [26]
Jan 2019 ABP News-CVoter 233 167 143 Hung [27]
Jan 2019 India Today-Karvy 237 166 140 Hung [28]
Jan 2019 VDP Associates 225 167 150 Hung [29]
Dec 2018 India Today 257 146 140 Hung [30]
Dec 2018 ABP News-CVoter 247 171 125 Hung [31]
Dec 2018 India TV-CNX 281 124 138 9 [32]
Nov 2018 ABP News-CVoter 261 119 163 Hung [33]
Oct 2018 ABP News 276 112 155 4 [34]
Aug 2018 India Today-Karvy 281 122 140 9 [35]
May 2018 ABP News-CSDS 274 164 105 2 [36]
Jan 2018 Republic-CVoter 335 89 119 63 [37]
Jan 2018 India Today 309 102 132 37 [38]

<section end=Opinion polling /><section end=Opinion polling />

Vote share[edit]

Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Mar 2019 News Nation[21] 34% 28% 38% 6%
Mar 2019 ABP News – C voter[39][40] 41% 31% 28% 10%
Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR[41] 38.7% 32.6% 28.7% 6.1%
Jan 2019 Republic TV - Cvoter[42] 37.6% 32.2% 30.2% 5.4%
Jan 2019 India Today -Karvy[28] 35% 33% 32% 2%
April–May 2014 2014 General election results 36.0% 23.0% 42.0% 13.0%

Polling on politicians[edit]

Next Prime Minister[edit]

Best Alternative to Narendra Modi amongst the Opposition leaders in 2019 Election[edit]

Date published Polling agency can't say Lead
Rahul Gandhi Mamata Banerjee K. Chandrashekar Rao P. Chidambaram Akhilesh Yadav Arvind Kejriwal Naveen Patnaik Sharad Pawar Mayawati Nitish Kumar Sonia Gandhi Mulayam Singh Yadav
Jan 2019 India Today- Karvy[43] 32% 3%  – 3% 3%  –  –  – 7%  –  –  – 12% 34%
Jul 2018 India Today- Karvy[44] 46% 8% 6% 6% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2%  –  –  – 12% 34%
Jan 2018 45% 9% 9% 7% 5% 4% 4% 2% 3%  –  –  – 12% 33%
Jul 2017 21% 4% 6% 4%  – 7% 3%  – 2% 13% 12% 3% 22% 1%
Jan 2017 28% 4% 3% 2% 7% 2% 3% 13% 9% 3% 24% 4%
Aug 2016 23% 4% 4% 2% 12% 3% 3% 13% 9% 3% 21% 2%
Feb 2016 32% 2% 5%  – 10% 1% 3% 8% 15% 2% 15% 17%

Narendra Modi vs Rahul Gandhi[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
Narendra Modi Rahul Gandhi
Jan 2019 India Today[45] 60% 24% 36%
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[46] 41% 23% 18%
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter[33] 56% 36% 20%
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 60% 34% 26%
Jan 2018 66% 28% 38%
2017 69% 26% 43%

Narendra Modi vs Priyanka Gandhi Vadra[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
Yes No
Feb 2019 ABP news - Cvoter[48] 60% 32% 28%

Approval ratings[edit]

Economic performance; compared to previous government[edit]

Date published Polling agency Don't know Lead
Better Worse
Jan 2019 India Today -Karvy[49] 49% 28% 23% 21%
Aug 2018 India Today -Karvy[49] 51% 24% 25% 27%
Jan 2018 India Today -Karvy[49] 56% 21% 23% 34%

Issues[edit]

Key Issues[edit]

Date published Polling agency Unemployment Price rise Corruption Farmers' plight
Jan 2019 India today - Karvy[50] 37% 19% 15% 12%

Farm distress; Low crop causing farm distress[edit]

Date published Polling agency Don't know Lead
Yes No
Jan 2019 India today - Karvy[50] 65% 25% 10% 40%

Jobs; Enough created[edit]

Date published Polling agency Don't know Lead
Yes No
Jan 2019 India today - Karvy[50] 12% 76% 12% 64%

Alleged corruption in Rafale deal[edit]

Date published Polling agency Yes No Not aware of deal Can't say
Jan 2019 India today - Karvy[51] 30% 32% 23% 15%

Statewise opinion polling[edit]

Andhra Pradesh (25)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
TDP YSRCP
8 April 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[52] 14 11 3
6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX [53] 7 18 11
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[54] 6 19 13
Date published Polling agency Lead
TDP YSRCP UPA NDA
Apr 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[52] 38.5% 36.4% 10.4% 6.5% 2.1%
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[37] 33% 41% 9.8% 7.2% 8%

Arunachal Pradesh (2)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[55] 2  – 2
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[55] 45.3% 37.6% 17.1% 7.7%

Assam (14)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AIUDF
6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX [53] 5 5 2  –
4 April 2019 Republic TV-Jan ki Baat[56] 8 4 1 4
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 8 4 2 4
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[58] 6 7 1 1
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA AIUDF
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 37.0% 32.4% 12.8% 14.3% 4.60%
Jan 2019 Tv - Cvoter[58] 44.3% 44.6% 2.5% 8.6% 0.3%

Bihar (40)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX [53] 29 11 18
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[59] 31 9 22
Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 35 5 30
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter[33] 34 6 28
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 22 18 4
31 9 22
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[61] 45.1% 37.5% 17.4% 7.6%

Chhattisgarh (11)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 3 8 5
March 2019 News Nation[21] 5 6 1
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[62] 5 6 1
Oct 2018 Times Now[63] 8 3 5
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 9 2 7
Oct 2018 Times Now[63] 8 3 5
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA JCC
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[64] 43.4% 41.1% 7.5% 8.1% 2.3%

Goa (2)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[65] 2  – 2
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[66] 1 1  –
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[66] 43.7% 38.5% 17.8% 5.2%

Gujarat (26)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV-CNX[65] 24 2 22
March 2019 News Nation[21] 21 5 16
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[67] 24 2 22
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[67] 54.1% 39.1% 6.8% 15%

Haryana (10)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA INLD
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[65] 9 1 8
Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 7 3 4
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 6 3 1 3
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA INLD
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 44.7% 33.6% 17.8% 3.9% 11.1%

Himachal Pradesh (4)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[68] 4  – 4
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[69] 49.5% 38.7% 11.9% 10.2%

Jammu and Kashmir (6)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[65] 2 4 2
Mar 2019 Times Now[57] 2 4 2
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[70] 2 4 2
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA JKPDP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[70] 36% 40.6% 13.4% 10% 4.6%

Jharkhand (14)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
9 April 2019 Times Now - VMR[71] 11 3 8
8 April 2019 News Nation[72] 9 5 4
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[73] 10 4 6
5 April 2019 Jan Ki Baat[74] 9-11 3-5 6-8
30 March 2019 VDP Associates[75] 7 7  –
24 January 2019 Republic TV - Cvoter[42] 5 9 4
5 January 2019 VDP Associates[76] 4 10 6
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA JMM JVM
Jan 2019 Republic TV - Cvoter[42] 41.9% 46.5% 10.1% 4.6%

Karnataka (28)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 16 12 4
5 April 2019 Republic Tv - Jan ki Baat[42] 18 10 8
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 14 14  –
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 44% 47.9% 8.1% 3.9%

Kerala (20)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UDF LDF NDA
15–19 April 2019 Twenty Four News[77] 10-12 8-10 0-2 0-4
14 April 2019 Asianet News - AZ Research[78] 13 6 1 7
8 April 2019 Mathrubhoomi News - Nielson[79] 14 5 1 9
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 14 5 1 9
March 2019 News Nation[21] 15 4 1 11
March 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 16 3 1 12
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 16 4  – 12
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[80] 12 6 2 6
Date published Polling agency Lead
UDF LDF NDA
15-19 Apr 2019 Twenty Four News[77] 42% 39% 15% 3%
14 April 2019 Asianet News – AZ Research[78] 41% 34% 19% 7%
8 April 2019 Mathrubhoomi News – Nielson[79] 41% 37% 16% 4%
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 45% 29.2% 21.7% 15.8%
Jan 2019 Republic TV[42] 40.1% 29.3% 19.7% 10.8%

Madhya Pradesh (29)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX[53] 21 8 13
5 April 2019 Republic TV-Jan ki Baat[81] 25 4 21
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 24 5 19
Jan 2019 ABP News -Cvoter[60] 23 6 17
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[62] 18 11 7
Nov 2018 ABP News - C Voters[33] 22 7 15
Oct 2018 Times Now[63] 21 8 13
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 23 6 17
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 49.20% 39.70% 4.30% 9.5%
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 48.4% 44.1% 7.5% 4.3%

Maharashtra (48)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA SHS UPA NCP
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[82] 34 13 21
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[83] 36 12 24
Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 28 20 8
Jan 2019 VDP Associates[84] 23 2 23  –
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[85] 22 8 18 4
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter[33] 23 5 14 6 9
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 16 2 30 14
36 12 24
22 7 11 8 11
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA SHS UPA NCP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 49.8% 42.4% 7.4%

Manipur (2)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NDA NPF
Mar 2019 Times Now[57] 1 1 0

Meghalaya (2)[edit]

Mizoram (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA MNF NDA
Mar 2019 Times Now[57] 0 1 1

Nagaland (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NPF NDA
March 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 0 1 0 1
Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NPF Others
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 30.1% 68.7% 5.9% 38.6%

Odisha (21)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA BJD
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 6 1 14 8
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[86] 10 1 10  –
Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 12  – 9 3
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter[33] 13 3 5 6
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 13 2 6 7
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA BJD
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 33.2% 26.2% 30.7% 2.5%

Punjab (13)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AAP
6 April 2019 India TV[53] 3 9 1 6
5 April 2019 Republic TV-Jan ki Baat[87] 3 9 1 6
Mar 2019 Zee 24 Taas[24] 1 10 2 6
Mar 2019 India TV[88] 3 9 1 6
Jan 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 1 12 0 11
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 1 12 0 11
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AAP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 34% 44%.7 16.9% 10.7%

Rajasthan (25)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 17 8 9
5 April 2019 Republic TV-Jan ki Baat[89] 21 4 17
March 2019 News Nation[21] 17 8 9
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[62] 15 10 5
Jan 2019 VDP Associates[90] 12 13 1
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voters[33] 17 8 9
Oct 2018 Times Now[63] 24 1 23
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 18 7 11
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 49.4% 44% 6.7% 5.4%

Sikkim (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA SDF NDA
8 April 2019 News X[91] 0 1 1
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 0 1 1
March 2019 Times Now[57] 0 1 1

Tamil Nadu (39)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NDA AIADMK
8 April 2019 Times Now-VMR[92] 33 6 27
8 April 2019 PuthiyaThalaimurai TV[93] 31-33 6-8 27
6 April 2019 IndiaTV-CNX[53] 21 13 8
5 April 2019 People studies-Loyola College[94] 33 3-5 28
Mar 2019 News Nation[21] 24 15 9
Mar 2019 Times[95] 18 15 6 3
Mar 2019 India TV-CNX[88] 22 15 2 7
  • AIADMK is part of NDA alliance in Tamil Nadu.

Telangana (17)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
TRS UPA BJP AIMIM
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 12 4 0 1 8
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 12 1 2 1 10
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 16  –  – 1 15
Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA TRS AIMIM NDA
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 30.30% 41.20% 7.4% 17.60% 10.9%
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 29% 42.4% 7.7% 12.7% 13.4%

Tripura (2)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
LDF NDA UPA
4 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[56] 0 2 0 2
Mar 2019 Times Now-VMR[57] 0 2 0 2
March 2019 India TV-CNX[88] 1 1 0
Jan 2019 Times Now-VMR[96] 0 2 0 2
Dec 2018 India Today[30] 1 1 0

Uttar Pradesh (80)[edit]

Date published Polling agency style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color" | Lead
NDA UPA MGB
8 April 2019 News Nation[97] 37 2 41 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |4
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[53] 41 4 35 6
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[98] 47 4 29 18
3 April 2019 ABP News - Nielsen[99] 36 2 42 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |6
1 April 2019 India TV - CNX[100] 46 4 30 16
19 March 2019 Times Now - VMR[57] 42 2 36 6
12 March 2019 News Nation[21] 35 2 43 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |8
8 March 2019 India TV - CNX[101] 41 4 35 6
31 January 2019 Times Now - VMR[96] 27 2 51 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |24
24 January 2019 ABP News - Cvoter[60] 25 4 51 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |26
23 January 2019 India Today[102] 18 4 58 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |40
2 November 2018 ABP News - CVoter[33] 31 5 44 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |13
5 October 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 36 2 42 style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |6
Date published Polling agency style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color" | Lead
NDA UPA MGB
Jan 2019 Republic TV - CVoter[42] 42% 12.7% 43% style="background:Template:Mahagathbandhan/meta/color; color:white" |1%

Uttarakhand (5)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[103] 5  – 5
Jan 2018 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 5  – 5
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[62] 4 1 3
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 49.2% 33.5% 17.3% 15.7%

West Bengal (42)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AITC LF
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[65] 12 1 28 1 16
5 April 2019 Republic TV - Jan ki Baat[104] 13 3 25 1 12
Mar 2019 ABP News- Nielsen[105] 8 3 31  – 23
Jan 2019 Spick Media[106] 8 4 30 0 22
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[107] 7 1 34 0 27
Nov 2018 Spick Media[108] 5 4 32 1 27
Nov 2018 ABP News- C Voter[33] 9 1 32  – 23
Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AITC LF
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[107] 30.8% 9.6% 45.7% 14.4% 11.9%

Union territories[edit]

Andaman and Nicobar Islands (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 1  – 1
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 47.3% 40.1% 10.4% 7.2%

Chandigarh (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AAP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 1  –  – 1
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA AAP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 47.3% 33.7% 8.6% 10.4% 13.7%

Dadra and Nagar Haveli (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 1  – 1
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
NDA UPA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv -Cvoter[42] 50.1% 40.2% 9.7% 9.9%

Daman and Diu (1)[edit]

Lakshadweep (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NDA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 1  – 1
Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NDA NCP
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 65.1% 2.1% 30.5% 34.6%

Puducherry (1)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
UPA NDA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 1  – 1
Date published Polling agency Others Lead
UPA NDA
Jan 2019 Republic Tv - Cvoter[42] 49.7% 14.7% 35.6% 35%

NCT of Delhi (7)[edit]

Date published Polling agency Lead
NDA UPA AAP
6 April 2019 India TV - CNX[65] 7 0 0 7
March 2019 News Nation[21] 6 0 1 5
Jan 2019 India TV - CNX[62] 5 1 1 4
Oct 2018 ABP News- CSDS[47] 4  – 3 1

See also[edit]

References[edit]

  1. "In India's National Election, Don't Trust the Polls, Jonah Force Hill, February 24, 2014". TheDiplomat.com. Feb 2014.
  2. Karandikar, Rajeeva. "Power and Limitations of Opinion Polls: My Experiences". The Hindu Center. Retrieved 20 March 2019.
  3. "What exit polls are really about". @businessline. Retrieved 20 March 2019.
  4. "Election Commission bans Exit Polls". United News of India. 10 April 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  5. "Predicting election results by astrologers, tarot card, others violation of law: EC to media". Business Today. 9 April 2019. Retrieved 11 April 2019.
  6. 6.0 6.1 "Lok Sabha Election 2019: Vote Counting, Stats and Election 2019 Analysis". indiatoday.in.
  7. Today's Chanakya (19 May 2019). "Lok Sabha 2019 Analysis". News24 India.
  8. "Clean Sweep for BJP, Crisis for Congress, Rise of Regional Satraps: What Exit Poll Results Mean". News18.
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 "Exit Poll Results: Narendra Modi Projected To Return As PM; NDA Headed For Landslide Victory". outlookindia.com.
  10. VDPAssociates (19 May 2019). "Lok Sabha Exit Poll 2019 Sea Share Projection #LokSabhaElections2019 NDA-333 UPA-115 Others-94 pic.twitter.com/1JUh8MkSZJ".
  11. 11.0 11.1 "2019 Lok Sabha elections: Exit polls indicate sweep for BJP". The Asian Age. 19 May 2019.
  12. NOW, TIMES (19 May 2019). "#TimesNowExitPoll BREAKING - TIMES NOW-VMR 2019 Exit Poll National (Overall) Tally: Seat Share: BJP+ (NDA): 306 Cong+ (UPA): 132 Others: 104 Vote Share: BJP+ (NDA): 41.1% Cong+ (UPA): 31.7% Others: 27.2%pic.twitter.com/Y9te9W4wwL".
  13. "Jan Ki Baat Exit Poll Predictions for Lok Sabha Election Result 2019 Live Update". Jagranjosh.com. 19 May 2019.
  14. "India TV-CNX Exit Poll 2019: As it happened". 19 May 2019.
  15. "Exit Poll highlights: Most polls predict majority to BJP-led NDA". The Economic Times. 22 May 2019.
  16. "Lok Sabha Elections Exit Poll 2019 LIVE: Modi set to return as PM, NDA to get 286 seats- News Nation". newsnation.in. 19 May 2019.
  17. "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll For Election 2019, Who Will Win Lok Sabha Polls, Times Now VMR Survey, PM Narendra Modi-led NDA likely to get 279 seats, UPA 149 - India News". timesnownews.com.
  18. Taneja, Nidhi (6 April 2019). "Lok Sabha Election 2019: NDA may get thin majority with 275 seats, BJD may retain Odisha, YSR Congress may win Andhra, says India TV-CNX pre-poll survey". indiatvnews.com.
  19. Baat, Jan Ki (4 April 2019). "The results of Jan Ki Baat Poll done in partnership with @republic and @Republic_Bharat between Feb 1 to April 2 2019 with sample of 5 lakh @pradip103 @PMOIndia @narendramodi #Elections2019 #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPoll #PradeepAnalysispic.twitter.com/Wr8cblQBdX".
  20. "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll : Modi govt again with 283 seats, predicts survey". timesnownews.com.
  21. 21.0 21.1 21.2 21.3 21.4 21.5 21.6 21.7 21.8 "Lok Sabha elections 2019 - Modi govt to retain power at Centre, NDA likely to win 270 seats: Opinion poll - News Nation". newsnation.in. 11 March 2019.
  22. "National Approval Ratings - NDA or UPA - Here's who would win if the 2019 Lok Sabha elections were held today". Republic World.
  23. Taneja, Nidhi (10 March 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA may get thin majority with 285 seats in Lok Sabha elections". indiatvnews.com.
  24. 24.0 24.1 "BJP-led NDA will be single largest bloc but short of majority in Lok Sabha election, predicts Zee 24 Taas survey". Zee News. 9 March 2019.
  25. VDPAssociates (7 February 2019). "All India Seat Share Forecast if Loksabha election held now(543 Seats) #NationalTrackerPoll NDA-242 UPA-148 Others-153pic.twitter.com/ScDMXHXyCJ".
  26. "2019 Lok Sabha Elections Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll: NDA may fall 20 seats short of magic mark of 272". timesnownews.com.
  27. Bureau, ABP News (24 January 2019). "ABP News-CVoter survey Highlights: NDA, UPA won't get clear majority in LS polls, hung parliament projected". abplive.in.
  28. 28.0 28.1 "Hung Parliament if elections held today, NDA would lose 99 seats: Mood of the Nation poll". India Today. Ist.
  29. Suares, Coreena (6 January 2019). "VDP Associates predicts 16 Lok Sabha seats for TRS". Deccan Chronicle.
  30. 30.0 30.1 "If polls held now, NDA may fall short of majority by 15 seats, says survey". Delhi: India Today. 6 January 2019.
  31. "देश का मूड: UP में महागठबंधन बना तो मोदी की राह होगी मुश्किल". abpnews.abplive.in. 25 December 2018.
  32. Singh, Raj (8 December 2018). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll Highlights- PM Modi-led NDA likely to get clear majority in Parliament with 281 seats if Lok Sabha elections were held today". indiatvnews.com.
  33. 33.0 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.5 33.6 33.7 33.8 न्यूज, एबीपी (1 November 2018). "अभी देश का मूड पीएम मोदी के साथ, यूपी में महागठबंधन नहीं बना तो एनडीए को 300 सीट: एबीपी न्यूज-सी वोटर सर्वे". abpnews.abplive.in.
  34. [email protected] (4 October 2018). "Audio Bulletin: BJP-led NDA will return to power if Lok Sabha elections are held today". abplive.in.
  35. Ajit Kumar Jha (18 August 2018). "A clash of coalitions". India Today. New Delhi.
  36. "Advantage BJP in Lok Sabha 2019 polls, Congress might get a boost: ABP-CSDS survey". Moneycontrol.
  37. 37.0 37.1 [on://www.republicworld.com/ "Read Latest News, News Today, Breaking News, India News and Current News on Politics, Bollywood and Sports"]. Republic World.
  38. "India Today Mood of the Nation Poll: Is Narendra Modi still India's first choice as PM?". India Today. Ist.
  39. न्यूज़, एबीपी (10 March 2019). "ABP न्यूज़-C Voter सर्वे: NDA बहुमत के करीब, लेकिन यूपी में सपा-बसपा के आगे BJP की राह मुश्किल". abpnews.abplive.in.
  40. "CVoter survey 2019: NDA will marginally fall short of majority but form government - India News - Times of India". The Times of India. 10 March 2019.
  41. "Times Now-VMR poll predicts hung House, with Advantage NDA". The Economic Times. 31 January 2019.
  42. 42.00 42.01 42.02 42.03 42.04 42.05 42.06 42.07 42.08 42.09 42.10 42.11 42.12 42.13 42.14 42.15 42.16 42.17 42.18 42.19 42.20 42.21 42.22 42.23 42.24 42.25 42.26 42.27 42.28 "National Approval Ratings: Congress or BJP? Here are the projections for how the Lok Sabha 2019 elections may pan out". Republic World.
  43. Ajit Kumar Jha (4 February 2019). "Mood of the Nation: Will 2019 see the making of a grand alliance?". India Today.
  44. "Mood of the Nation: 46 per cent say Rahul Gandhi best alternative to Narendra Modi in 2019". India Today. Ist.
  45. "Modi's popularity at all-time low; Rahul Gandhi closing in: Poll". www.msn.com.
  46. Khushbu (13 January 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion poll 2019: प्रधानमंत्री की रेस में नरेंद्र मोदी नंबर वन, राहुल गांधी दूसरे नंबर पर". India TV Hindi.
  47. 47.00 47.01 47.02 47.03 47.04 47.05 47.06 47.07 47.08 47.09 47.10 न्यूज, एबीपी (4 October 2018). "बीजेपी अकेले बहुमत से दूर, 80 सीटों पर सिमट जाएगी कांग्रेस: सर्वे". abpnews.abplive.in.
  48. Bureau, ABP News (8 February 2019). "60% want to witness a Priyanka vs Modi battle in Varanasi: ABP News-CVoter Survey". www.abplive.in.
  49. 49.0 49.1 49.2 Today, India (28 January 2019). "#Voternomics2019 How has been the Economic performance of NDA govt ? Take a look at the #MoodOfTheNation graph. (@narendrataneja)".
  50. 50.0 50.1 50.2 Today, India (28 January 2019). "#Voternomics2019 #MoodOfTheNation Is govt doing enough to create jobs? This is what the #MoodOfTheNation survey shows (@rajeevdubey , @shwwetapunj)".
  51. Today, India (28 January 2019). "#MoodOfTheNation: Do you think there was corruption in Rafale deal?".
  52. 52.0 52.1 "National Approval Ratings: In Andhra Pradesh, Chandrababu Naidu's TDP projected to take lead against Jagan Reddy's YSRCP with a small margin". Republic World.
  53. 53.00 53.01 53.02 53.03 53.04 53.05 53.06 53.07 53.08 53.09 53.10 53.11 53.12 53.13 Taneja, Nidhi (6 April 2019). "Lok Sabha Election 2019: NDA may get thin majority with 275 seats, BJD may retain Odisha, YSR Congress may win Andhra, says India TV-CNX pre-poll survey". www.indiatvnews.com.
  54. "National Approval Ratings: In Andhra Pradesh, Jagan Reddy's YSRCP projected to emerge as the winner leaving TDP with mere 6 seats". Republic World.
  55. 55.0 55.1 "National Approval Ratings: In Arunachal Pradesh, NDA likely to gain both the seats leaving UPA at zero". Republic World.
  56. 56.0 56.1 Republic Bharat (4 April 2019). "लोकसभा चुनाव 2019 से पहले सबसे सच्चा सर्वे, R. भारत और जन की बात का सबसे सटीक ओपिनियन पोल" – via YouTube.
  57. 57.00 57.01 57.02 57.03 57.04 57.05 57.06 57.07 57.08 57.09 57.10 57.11 57.12 57.13 57.14 57.15 "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll : Modi govt again with 283 seats, predicts survey". www.timesnownews.com.
  58. 58.0 58.1 "National Approval Ratings: In Assam, UPA Projected To Be On Upswing as NDA falls Back". Republic World.
  59. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "BIHAR (40) NDA 28-33 UPA 12-7 @pradip103 #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPoll #PradeepAnalysis #2019LokSabhaElectionspic.twitter.com/ge9XTzN3em".
  60. 60.0 60.1 60.2 60.3 60.4 60.5 60.6 Bureau, ABP News (24 January 2019). "ABP News-CVoter survey Highlights: NDA, UPA won't get clear majority in LS polls, hung parliament projected". www.abplive.in.
  61. "National Approval Ratings: In Bihar, BJP-JD(U)-LJP alliance projected to win big as Cong-RJD likely to lag behind". Republic World.
  62. 62.0 62.1 62.2 62.3 62.4 Thomas, Soumya (12 January 2019). "IndiaTV-CNX Opinion Poll post-Grand Alliance: NDA may fail to repeat its 2014 win in LS elections, likely to fall short of clear majority". www.indiatvnews.com.
  63. 63.0 63.1 63.2 63.3 "EXCL SURVEY: BJP ahead in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh; Congress in Rajasthan". www.timesnownews.com.
  64. "National Approval Ratings: In Chhattisgarh, UPA projected to win by one seat over NDA". Republic World.
  65. 65.0 65.1 65.2 65.3 65.4 65.5 IndiaTV (6 April 2019). "पूरे India का ओपिनियन पोल सभी 543 Lok Sabha Seats पर - IndiaTv-CNX Opinion Poll 2019" – via YouTube.
  66. 66.0 66.1 "National Approval Ratings: Both Congress and BJP are predicted to win one seat each in Goa". Republic World.
  67. 67.0 67.1 "National Approval Ratings: BJP is predicted to maintain its strong hold over PM Modi's home-state, Gujarat. Congress lags far behind". Republic World.
  68. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "HIMACHAL PRADESH (4) BJP - 4 INC - 0 @pradip103 #2019LokSabhaElections #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPollpic.twitter.com/rfRBus1iaR".
  69. "National Approval Ratings: In Himachal Pradesh, BJP is projected to win massively by gaining all four seats, leaving none for Congress". Republic World.
  70. 70.0 70.1 "National Approval Ratings: In Jammu and Kashmir, huge gains predicted for UPA, leaving NDA behind". Republic World.
  71. "Opinion poll Lok Sabha 2019 latest: NDA seat tally at 279, UPA 149: Times Now-VMR survey - - Times of India". The Times of India. 9 April 2019.
  72. "Opinion Poll - Balakot air strike gives 'Modi wave' major boost, NDA likely to retain power at Centre- News Nation". newsnation.in. 8 April 2019.
  73. Taneja, Nidhi (8 April 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA likely to get 295 seats. Check statewise projection". www.indiatvnews.com.
  74. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "JHARKHAND (14) BJP: 9-11 JMM: 3-2 INC: 1-0 JVM 1 @pradip103 #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPoll #2019LokSabhaElectionspic.twitter.com/kMmvan8j7l".
  75. VDPAssociates (30 March 2019). "Jharkhand Seat Share Projection #NationalTrackerPoll BJP-7 Cong-4 JMM-2 JVM(P)-1".
  76. VDPAssociates (5 January 2019). "Most surprising data from Jharkhand.Cong projected to win 5 out of 14 Lok Sabha seats as BJP sinks under local anti-incumbency Cong-5 BJP-4 JMM-4 JVM-1".
  77. 77.0 77.1 "24 സർവേ; യുഡിഎഫിന് മുന്നേറ്റം; തൊട്ടുപിന്നിൽ എൽഡിഎഫ്". www.twentyfournews.com. 20 April 2019.
  78. 78.0 78.1 asianetnews (14 April 2019). "Asianet news - AZ research Election opinion survey - Part 2" – via YouTube.
  79. 79.0 79.1 Mathrubhumi News (8 April 2019). "Mathrubhumi News-Nielsen Survey: Results, Debate Unedited- Mathrubhumi-Nielsen Opinion Poll- Part 1" – via YouTube.
  80. "കേരളത്തില്‍ യുഡിഎഫിന് 16 സീറ്റെന്ന് എബിപി–സീ വോട്ടര്‍ സര്‍വേ". www.manoramanews.com.
  81. Baat, Jan Ki (6 April 2019). "MP: BJP likely to get 50 percent vote share - and around 22 to 25 seats. Our Founder @pradip103 present the largest Opinion poll on @Republic_Bharat and explain how the national trends are not comparable to assembly elections in MP. #2019LokSabhaElections #PradeepAnalysispic.twitter.com/c7BmUEmtZH".
  82. Khushbu (6 April 2019). "एक बार फिर बन सकती है मोदी सरकार, NDA को 275 और UPA को 147 सीटें". India TV Hindi.
  83. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "MAHARASHTRA (48) NDA: 33-39 UPA: 15 - 9 @pradip103 #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPollpic.twitter.com/BynK0GFSJd".
  84. VDPAssociates (5 January 2019). "Maharashtra Seat Share Forecast(48 Seats) #NationalTrackerPoll BJP-23 Cong-12 NCP-8 Shiv Sena-2 Others-3".
  85. Aggarwal, Arshi (5 January 2019). "India TV CNX Opinion Poll 2019: Here are projected Lok Sabha seats of BJP, Congress and other parties if election held today". www.indiatvnews.com.
  86. Republic Bharat (4 April 2019). "लोकसभा चुनाव 2019 से पहले सबसे सच्चा सर्वे, R. भारत और जन की बात का सबसे सटीक ओपिनियन पोल" – via YouTube.
  87. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "PUNJAB (13) INC 9-10 BJP 1-0 AKALI DAL : 3-2 AAP : 0-1 @pradip103 #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPoll #2019LokSabhaElectionspic.twitter.com/i55rzqVZ0l".
  88. 88.0 88.1 88.2 Taneja, Nidhi (10 March 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: NDA may get thin majority with 285 seats in Lok Sabha elections". www.indiatvnews.com.
  89. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "RAJASTHAN (25) BJP: 19-22 INC: 6-3 @pradip103 #2019LokSabhaElections #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPollpic.twitter.com/X6WJZQr6Hf".
  90. VDPAssociates (5 January 2019). "Rajasthan seat Share Forecast(25 Seats) #NationalTrackerPoll Cong-13 BJP-12".
  91. NewsX (8 April 2019). "State by State Poll Results, Opinion Poll, Seat Share; NewsX Polstrat, Lok Sabha Elections 2019" – via YouTube.
  92. "Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll For Election 2019 ,Who Will Win Lok Sabha Polls, Times Now VMR Survey, PM Narendra Modi-led NDA likely to get 279 seats, UPA 149 - India News". www.timesnownews.com.
  93. PuthiyathalaimuraiTV (8 April 2019). "புதிய தலைமுறையின் கருத்துக் கணிப்பு… எந்த கூட்டணிக்கு எவ்வளவு தொகுதிகள்...? #LokSabhaElections2019 #Elections2019 #ElectionsWithPTpic.twitter.com/7SxFCzky0e".
  94. "TN Elections Opinion Polls: தமிழகத்தின் அடுத்த முதல்வராக இவருக்கு ஆதரவு". Samayam Tamil. 5 April 2019.
  95. "@Chennai (@chennai) - Twitter". twitter.com.
  96. 96.0 96.1 "2019 Lok Sabha Elections Times Now-VMR Opinion Poll: NDA may fall 20 seats short of magic mark of 272". www.timesnownews.com.
  97. "Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll: 'Mahagathbandhan' may give tough fight to NDA, likely to win 41 seats- News Nation". newsnation.in. 8 April 2019.
  98. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "Releasing Statewise Result of India's Biggest #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPoll Done Along With @republic @Republic_Bharat UTTAR PRADESH (80) BJP: 43-52 SP-BSP: 33-25 INC: 4-3 @pradip103 #2019LokSabhaElections #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPollpic.twitter.com/ueMMqj105h".
  99. [email protected] (3 April 2019). "UP Survey: NDA to face a loss of 37 seats in Lok Sabha elections". www.abplive.in.
  100. Rana, Lakshya (1 April 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: उत्तर प्रदेश में BJP+ को मिल सकती हैं 46 सीटें, महागठबंधन भी मजबूत". India TV Hindi.
  101. Aggarwal, Arshi (4 March 2019). "India TV-CNX Opinion Poll: People in UP satisfied with Modi Govt's response to Pulwama terror attack - Highlights". www.indiatvnews.com.
  102. "Without Congress, SP-BSP will bring BJP+ down to 18 seats in Uttar Pradesh: Mood of the Nation poll". India Today. Ist.
  103. Baat, Jan Ki (5 April 2019). "UTTRAKHAND (5) BJP : 5 INC : 0 @pradip103 #2019LokSabhaElections #PradeepAnalysis #JanKiBaat2019OpinionPollpic.twitter.com/MDNEAg86KR".
  104. "Jan Ki Baat (@jankibaat1) - Twitter". twitter.com.
  105. "BJP in West Bengal: BJP may win 8, Trinamool to shine in West Bengal: ABP-Nielsen". m.economictimes.com. Archived from the original on 13 April 2019. Retrieved 6 April 2019.
  106. Network, Spick Media (21 February 2019). "#BJP shows improvement at #WestBengal. Ruling Trinamool Congress to stay as Single Largest Party in state. #LokSabhaElections2019 @AITCofficial : 30 (38.56%) @BJP4Bengal : 08 (19.44%) @INCWestBengal : 04 (15.39%) #Others : 00 (26.61%) : #FON #FOWB #AITC #BJP #CPIM #Congresspic.twitter.com/6IyDl0cvMZ". Twitter. Retrieved 26 February 2019.
  107. 107.0 107.1 "National Approval Ratings: Despite BJP's West Bengal push, Mamata's TMC projected to dominate elections". Republic World.
  108. "Fate of West Bengal : Spick Media - IE Tech - Fate of Nation survey - Fate of west bengal (august - september, 2018)" (PDF). Img1.wsimg.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on 4 November 2018. Retrieved 26 February 2019.

External links[edit]