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2019 Maharashtra Legislative Assembly election
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All 288 seats to the Maharashtra Legislative Assembly 145 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 61.44% ( 1.94%) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Maharashtra Legislative Assembly election was held on 21 October 2019 to elect all 288 members of the state's Legislative Assembly.[1] After a 61.4% turnout in the election, the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Shiv Sena (SHS) won a majority.[2] Following differences over the government formation, the alliance was dissolved, precipitating a political crisis. Since a council of ministers had not been formed after no party could manage to form the government, President's rule was imposed in the state. On 23 November 2019, Devendra Fadnavis was sworn in as the Chief Minister and Ajit Pawar was sworn in as Deputy Chief Minister. However both of them resigned on 26 November 2019 before the floor test and on 28 November 2019, Shiv Sena, NCP, and Congress formed the government under a new alliance Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), with Uddhav Thackeray as the Chief Minister.
Background
The results were out on 21 October 2019 with the Sena-BJP Alliance getting Majority, enough to form the government. But due to breakage of promise given to Shiv Sena by the BJP.[citation needed] The Alliance ended, with the Shiv Sena-Nationalist Congress Party-Indian National Congress forming the Government
Election schedule
The Election Commission announced the election dates for the Assembly elections in Maharashtra.[3]
| Poll Event | Schedule |
|---|---|
| Notification date | 27 September 2019 |
| Last date for filing out nominations | 4 October 2019 |
| Scrutiny of nominations | 5 October 2019 |
| Last date for withdrawal of Candidature | 7 October 2019 |
| Date of Poll | 21 October 2019 |
| Counting of Votes | 24 October 2019 |
Political parties and campaign
- National Democratic Alliance
Pre-election alliance of National Democratic Alliance (NDA) was formed between Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Shiv Sena (SHS). Later, however, SHS left NDA and formed Three-Party Alliance Government Maha Vikas Aghadi seeing inability to share power with each other.
- United Progressive Alliance
Pre-election alliance of United Progressive Alliance (UPA) was formed with Indian National Congress (INC) and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP). INC filled nominations on 145 seats and NCP on 123. Other parties that supported the UPA alliance were Raju Shetti-led Swabhimani Shetkari Saghtana (4 seats), the Peasants and Workers Party (6 seats), Samajwadi Party (3 seats), Bahujan Vikas Aghadi (3 seats) and Ravi Rana-led Swabhiman Sanghatana (1 seat). The opposition finalised common nominee of 2 seats of Mankhatao and Kothrud constituency.[4] Peoples Republican Party (3 seats) and Bahujan Republican Socialist Party (2 seats) will be fielding their candidates on the symbols of INC and NCP.[4] The Samajwadi Party later rescinded its support for the alliance, to contest for 7 seats separately instead.[5] Shiv Sena later joined UPA after leaving NDA.
- Others
Various prominent parties in the Maharashtra's political scenario did not join hands with either of the two alliances. This includes Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi that will be contesting all 288 seats.[6] All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen will be contesting from 44 seats, mostly from Muslim predominant constituencies.[7] Maharashtra Navnirman Sena will be contesting from 103 seats.[8]
A total of 5543 nominations were received by Election Commission throughout the state of which about 3239 candidatures were left after others were rejected or had their nominations withdrawn. The Chiplun constituency has the least candidates (3 candidates), whereas Nanded South constituency had the maximum candidates (38 candidates).[9]
| Coalition | Parties | Number of candidates | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDA (288)[10] |
Bharatiya Janata Party | 152 | |
| Shiv Sena (Later changed to MVA) | 124[10] | ||
| NDA Others | 12[10] | ||
| UPA (288) |
Indian National Congress | 125 | |
| Nationalist Congress Party | 125 | ||
| UPA Others | 38 | ||
| – | Other | 2663 | |
| Total | 3239[9] | ||
Maha Yuti Campaign
On 30 September 2019, The Bharatiya Janata Party and the Shiv Sena announced that they have finalised their Seat sharing agreements with each other and agreed to fight under the banner of Maha Yuti Alliance. Few days before, Union Home Minister Amit Shah had visited Matoshree (Uddhav Thackeray's Home) and met Uddhav Thackeray for the same.
The parties however were clashing on the subject of 50-50 CM sharing formula.
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The campaign was led by Shiv Sena Chief Uddhav Thackeray and then Maharashtra CM Devendra Fadnavis.
Shiv Sena
Jan- Aashirwad Yatra
In order to expand the party's image and to improve its vote share within the state as well as in the Alliance, the Shiv Sena started Jan Aashirwad Yatra headed by party's youth icon and Yuva Sena Chief Aaditya Thackeray. Under this, Aditya Thackeray with his party cadres travelled city-to-city, village-to-village convincing people to vote in favour of his party and the Alliance.
Aditya Samwad
On par with the Jan Aashirwad Yatra, Aaditya Thackeray interacted with youth community across the state under the Aditya Samwad, there he addressed questions related common problems faced by today's generation and provided solutions for them. Aditya Samwad was promoted and supported by Indian Political Strategist Prashant Kishor and his company I-PAC.
Bharatiya Janata Party
Maha- Janadesh Yatra
The BJP launched the Maha- Janadesh Yatra headed by then incumbent CM and BJP Leader Devendra Fadnavis, State President Chandrakant Patil and Union Minister Rajnath Singh. Under the Yatra, the BJP hoped to approach more constituencies and voters.
Maha Aaghadi Campaign
On 16 September 2019, the Indian National Congress and the Nationalist Congress Party sealed their deal for seat sharing arrangements for the elections, both the parties contested on 125 Seats and kept 38 seats for Independents/Smaller Parties, This comes after the INC-NCP lost many heavyweight leaders joining BJP-Sena.
Both the parties were unclear about the CM Candidate from the Alliance.
Nationalist Congress Party
Shiv Swarajya Yatra
The NCP flagged off the Shiv Swarajya Yatra from Shivneri,headed by Chief Sharad Pawar, Ajit Pawar and State President Jayant Patil, the Party hoped that it would reach maximum people that would help them to raise strong Anti-Incumbency. The campaign by the Nationalist Congress Party was seen as a try-hard campaign against the mighty Sena-BJP Alliance, which proved correct making the BJP-Sena losing vast constituencies against the Congress-NCP.
The NCP also managed to revive the itself by successfully gaining their stronghold Western Maharashtra back from the Sena-BJP Alliance, the lone-NCP was seen as the main and unexpected competitor against the Sena-BJP.
The Sena-BJP though managed to form the government for the second term, but lost core-ministers and constituencies to the NCP.
Indian National Congress
Pol Khol Yatra
The INC flagged off the Pol Khol Yatra headed by senior state party leaders like Ashok Chavan, State President Balasaheb Thorat and Madhya Pradesh CM Kamal Nath.
The Pol Khol Yatra was intended to expose the ruling Maha Yuti Government's failures and claims. The Yatra only little but helped the party in securing fate in Maharashtra.
Surveys and polls
Subsequent to the election, pre-polling and exit polling in all cases but one (India Today-Axis exit poll), was seen to have significantly over-estimated the vote share and seat projections to the ruling right-wing NDA coalition.[11]
| Publishing Date | Polling Agency | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | UPA | Others | ||
| 26 September 2019 | ABP News – C Voter[12][13] | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| 18 October 2019 | IANS – C Voter[14] | 47.3% | 38.5% | 14.3% |
Seat projections
| Poll type | Publishing Date | Polling Agency | Majority | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NDA | UPA | Others | ||||
| Opinion polls | 26 September 2019 | Patriotic Voter [15] | 193-199 | 67 | 28 | 53 |
| 26 September 2019 | ABP News – C Voter[13] | 205 | 55 | 28 | 61 | |
| 27 September 2019 | NewsX – Pollstrat[16] | 210 | 49 | 29 | 66 | |
| 17 October 2019 | Republic Media – Jan Ki Baat[citation needed] | 225-232 | 48-52 | 8-11 | 56 | |
| 18 October 2019 | ABP News – C Voter[17] | 194 | 86 | 8 | 50 | |
| 18 October 2019 | IANS – C Voter[14] | 182-206 | 72-98 | – | 38-62 | |
| Exit polls | India Today – Axis[18] | 166-194 | 72-90 | 22-34 | 22-50 | |
| Patriotic Voter [15] | 175 | 84 | 35 | 52 | ||
| News18 – IPSOS[18] | 243 | 41 | 4 | 99 | ||
| Republic Media – Jan Ki Baat[18] | 216-230 | 52-59 | 8-12 | 72-86 | ||
| ABP News – C Voter[18] | 204 | 69 | 15 | 60 | ||
| NewsX – Pollstrat[18] | 188-200 | 74-89 | 6-10 | 44-56 | ||
| Times Now[18] | 230 | 48 | 10 | 86 | ||
| ACTUAL RESULTS | 161 | 106 | 55 | |||
Results
| 106 | 58 | 53 | 43 | 28 |
| BJP | SHS | NCP | INC | IND |
| Parties and Coalitions | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vote | % | +/- | Contested | Won | % | +/- | ||
| Bharatiya Janata Party 106 / 288 (37%)
|
14,199,375 | 25.75 | 2.20
|
164 | 105 | 36.46 | 17
| |
| Shiv Sena 58 / 288 (20%)
|
9,049,789 | 16.41 | 3.04
|
124 | 56 | 19.44 | 7
| |
| Nationalist Congress Party 53 / 288 (18%)
|
9,216,919 | 16.71 | 0.62
|
121 | 54 | 18.75 |  13
| |
| Indian National Congress 43 / 288 (15%)
|
8,752,199 | 15.87 | 2.17
|
147 | 44 | 15.28 | 2
| |
| Bahujan Vikas Aaghadi 3 / 288 (1%)
|
368,735 | 0.67 | 0.05
|
31 | 3 | 1.04 | 
| |
| All India Majlis-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen 2 / 288 (0.7%)
|
737,888 | 1.34 | 0.41
|
44 | 2 | 0.69 |
| |
| Samajwadi Party 2 / 288 (0.7%)
|
123,267 | 0.22 | 0.05
|
7 | 2 | 0.69 | 1
| |
| Prahar Janshakti Party 2 / 288 (0.7%)
|
265,320 | 0.48 | 0.48
|
26 | 2 | 0.69 | ||
| Communist Party of India (Marxist) 1 / 288 (0.3%)
|
204,933 | 0.37 | 0.02
|
8 | 1 | 0.35 |
| |
| Maharashtra Navnirman Sena 1 / 288 (0.3%)
|
1,242,135 | 2.25 | 0.90
|
101 | 1 | 0.35 |
| |
| Peasants and Workers Party of India 1 / 288 (0.3%)
|
532,366 | 0.97 | 0.04
|
24 | 1 | 0.35 | 2
| |
| Swabhimani Paksha 2 / 288 (0.7%)
|
221,637 | 0.40 | 0.26
|
5 | 1 | 0.35 | 1
| |
| Jan Surajya Shakti | 196,284 | 0.36 | 0.07
|
4 | 1 | 0.35 | 1
| |
| Krantikari Shetkari Party | 116,943 | 0.21 | 0.21
|
1 | 1 | 0.35 | ||
| Rashtriya Samaj Paksha 1 / 288 (0.3%)
|
81,169 | 0.15 | 0.34
|
6 | 1 | 0.35 |
| |
| Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi | 2,523,583 | 4.58 | 4.58
|
236 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
| Independents 13 / 288 (5%)
|
5,477,653 | 9.93 | 5.22
|
1400 | 13 | 4.51 | 6
| |
| None of the above | 742,135 | 1.35 | 0.43
|
|||||
| Total | 55,150,470 | 100.00 | 288 | 100.00 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 55,150,470 | 99.91 | ||||||
| Invalid votes | 48,738 | 0.09 | ||||||
| Votes cast / turnout | 55,199,208 | 61.44 | ||||||
| Abstentions | 34,639,059 | 38.56 | ||||||
| Registered voters | 89,838,267 | |||||||
Region-wise break up
| Region | Total seats | Bharatiya Janata Party | Shiv Sena | Nationalist Congress Party | Indian National Congress | Others | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Maharashtra | 70 | 20 | 04
|
5 | 08
|
27 | 08
|
12 | 02
|
6 |
| Vidarbha | 62 | 29 | 15
|
04 |
|
6 | 05
|
15 | 05
|
8 |
| Marathwada | 46 | 16 | 01
|
12 | 01
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
2 |
| Thane+Konkan | 39 | 11 | 01
|
15 | 01
|
5 | 03
|
0 | 02
|
7 |
| Mumbai | 36 | 16 | 01
|
14 |
|
1 | 01
|
4 | 01
|
1 |
| North Maharashtra | 35 | 13 | 01
|
6 | 01
|
8 | 03
|
4 | 03
|
4 |
| Total[19] | 288 | 105 | -17 | 56 | -7 | 54 | +13 | 44 | +2 | 29 |
| Party | Western Maharashtra | Vidarbha | Marathwada | Thane+Konkan | Mumbai | North Maharashtra | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bharatiya Janata Party | 18 / 70 (26%)
|
06
|
30 / 62 (48%)
|
14
|
16 / 46 (35%)
|
01
|
11 / 39 (28%)
|
01
|
16 / 36 (44%)
|
01
|
14 / 35 (40%)
|
| |
| Shiv Sena | 8 / 70 (11%)
|
05
|
4 / 62 (6%)
|
|
11 / 46 (24%)
|
|
17 / 39 (44%)
|
03
|
14 / 36 (39%)
|
|
5 / 35 (14%)
|
02
| |
| Nationalist Congress Party | 28 / 70 (40%)
|
09
|
6 / 62 (10%)
|
05
|
8 / 46 (17%)
|
|
2 / 39 (5%)
|
06
|
1 / 36 (3%)
|
01
|
8 / 35 (23%)
|
05
| |
| Indian National Congress | 9 / 70 (13%)
|
01
|
15 / 62 (24%)
|
05
|
8 / 46 (17%)
|
|
2 / 39 (5%)
|
01
|
4 / 36 (11%)
|
01
|
4 / 35 (11%)
|
03
| |
| Others | 7 / 70 (10%)
|
3
|
7 / 70 (10%)
|
4
|
3 / 46 (7%)
|
4
|
7 / 39 (18%)
|
1
|
1 / 36 (3%)
|
1
|
4 / 35 (11%)
|
2
| |
| Region | Total Seats | National Democratic Alliance | United Progressive Alliance | Others | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Maharashtra | 70 | 11
|
26 / 70 (37%)
|
8
|
37 / 70 (53%)
|
3
|
7 / 70 (10%)
|
| Vidarbha | 62 | 14
|
34 / 62 (55%)
|
10
|
21 / 62 (34%)
|
4
|
7 / 70 (10%)
|
| Marathwada | 46 | 1
|
27 / 46 (59%)
|
|
17 / 46 (37%)
|
4
|
3 / 46 (7%)
|
| Thane +Konkan | 39 | 4
|
28 / 39 (72%)
|
5
|
4 / 39 (10%)
|
1
|
7 / 39 (18%)
|
| Mumbai | 36 | 1
|
30 / 36 (83%)
|
|
5 / 36 (14%)
|
1
|
1 / 36 (3%)
|
| North Maharashtra | 35 | 2
|
19 / 35 (54%)
|
|
12 / 35 (34%)
|
2
|
4 / 35 (11%)
|
| Total | 24
|
161 / 288 (56%)
|
15
|
98 / 288 (34%)
|
9
|
29 / 288 (10%)
| |
Vidhan Sabha Results
Results by constituency
Aftermath
After declaration of election result on 24 October 2019, Shiv Sena declined to support BJP for the government formation demanding rotational Chief Ministers of both parties for 2.5 years each, which was promised by BJP during elections as claimed by Shiv Sena and withdrew from Maha-Yuti Alliance. As no political party was able to prove the majority in the assembly, the President's rule was imposed in the state following recommendation by the Governor on 12 November 2019.[21][22]
Ultimately, the combination of largest legislative party BJP and a faction of the NCP agreed to form a grand coalition with Devendra Fadnavis returning as Chief Minister. Ajit Pawar of NCP was sworn in as Deputy Chief Minister. But the NCP national leadership had rebuffed this move and announced that it will not support BJP. On Tue, 26 Nov, Devendra Fadnavis resigned at a press conference in Mumbai.
On Thursday, 28 November Shiv Sena chief Uddhav Thackarey was sworn in as chief minister. [23]
Bibliography
- Suryawanshi, Sudhir (17 May 2020). Checkmate : how the BJP won and lost Maharashtra. New Delhi, India. ISBN 978-0-14-349768-4. OCLC 1159899265.
{{cite book}}: CS1 maint: location missing publisher (link) - [24]
See also
- 2019 elections in India
- 2019 Indian general election in Maharashtra
- 2019 Haryana Legislative Assembly election
- Uddhav Thackeray ministry
References
- ↑ "What is Uddhav Thackeray's plan for Maharashtra Assembly elections?". dailyo.in. Retrieved 21 July 2018.
- ↑ "GENERAL ELECTION TO VIDHAN SABHA TRENDS & RESULT OCT-2019". Election Commission of India. Archived from the original on 21 November 2019. Retrieved 28 October 2019.
- ↑ "Election Dates 2019 updates: Haryana, Maharashtra voting on October 21, results on October 24". businesstoday.in.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 "Maharashtra assembly elections: With 144 seats for Congressand 122 for NCP, other allies get 22". Times of India. 6 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ↑ "Maharashtra Samajwadi Party Abu Asim Azmi: Have been betrayed by Congress". The Indian Express. 10 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ↑ "Prakash Ambedkar's Party Announces Maharashtra Assembly Poll Candidates". NDTV. 1 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ↑ "AIMIM looks to contest 44 assembly seats in Maharashtra". Live Mint. 8 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ↑ "Maha polls: MNS, VBA up for a fight". Hindustan Times. 10 October 2019. Retrieved 10 October 2019.
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 "3239 candidates in fray for Maharashtra assembly elections". Economic Times. 7 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 "Maharashtra polls: Final BJP-Shiv Sena seat sharing numbers out". India Today. 4 October 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
- ↑ "Haryana and Maharashtra election results: Exit polls way off mark; all but India Today-Axis My India had predicted saffron sweep". Firstpost. 25 October 2019. Retrieved 30 October 2019.
- ↑ "Maharashtra, Haryana Opinion Poll: BJP government can be formed in both states, will be successful in saving power". ABP News. 21 September 2019.
- ↑ 13.0 13.1 "Maharashtra opinion poll 2019: BJP, Shiv Sena likely to retain power with two-thirds majority". The Financial Express. 22 September 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
- ↑ 14.0 14.1 "Survey Predicts Landslide BJP Victory in Haryana, Big Win in Maharashtra". News18. 18 October 2019. Retrieved 18 October 2019.
- ↑ 15.0 15.1 "PvMaha19".
- ↑ "NewsX-Pollstart Opinion Poll: BJP likely to retain power in Haryana and Maharashtra". NewsX. 26 September 2019. Retrieved 9 October 2019.
- ↑ "Opinion poll predicts BJP win in Haryana, Maharashtra". Deccan Herald. 18 October 2019. Retrieved 18 October 2019.
- ↑ 18.0 18.1 18.2 18.3 18.4 18.5 "Exit polls predict big win for BJP in Maharashtra, Haryana: Live Updates". Live Mint. Live Mint. 21 October 2019. Retrieved 21 October 2019.
- ↑ "Spoils of five-point duel". Retrieved 26 September 2017.
- ↑ "Constituency Wise results - Maharashtra 2019". Election Commission of India. Archived from the original on 30 November 2019. Retrieved 25 October 2019.
- ↑ "We will succeed, says Sanjay Raut after setback over Maharashtra govt formation". The Times of India. 12 November 2019. Retrieved 12 November 2019.
- ↑ "Maharashtra News live: President rule imposed in Maharashtra". The Times of India. Retrieved 12 November 2019.
- ↑ "Devendra Fadnavis takes oath as Maharashtra CM, Ajit Pawar as his deputy". Economic Times. 23 November 2019. Retrieved 23 November 2019.
- ↑ Dixit, Jitendra (2020). 35 Days: How Politics In Maharashtra Changed Forever In 2019. India: HarperCollins. ISBN 9789353577964.