Next Karnataka Legislative Assembly election: Difference between revisions

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{{Speculation|date=November 2021}}
{{Short description|Elections for the 17th Legislative assembly of Karnataka}}
{{More citations needed|date=April 2021}}
{{Use dmy dates|date=August 2024}}
{{short description|Upcoming assembly elections in Karnataka}}
{{Infobox election
{{Infobox election
| election_name = Next Karnataka Legislative Assembly election
| election_name = Next Karnataka Legislative Assembly election
| type = legislative
| country = India
| type = Legislative
| ongoing = yes
| ongoing = yes
| election_date = May 2023
| vote_type = party
| country = India
| previous_election = 2023 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election
| previous_year = [[2018 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election|2018]]
| previous_year = 2023
| party1 = Bharatiya Janata Party
| next_election =
| party2 = Indian National Congress
| next_year = 2033
| election_date = By May 2028
| seats_for_election = All 224 seats in the [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly]]
| seats_for_election = All 224 seats in the [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly]]
| majority_seats = 113
| majority_seats = 113
| seats_before1 = 121
| map_image = [[File:Wahlkreise zur Vidhan Sabha von Karnataka.svg|300px]]
| image_size = 150x150px
| map2_image =  
| seats_before2 = 69
| map_size =  
| leader1 = [[Basavaraj Bommai]]
| map_caption = Map of the assembly constituencies in Karnataka
| image1 = Shri Basavaraj Bommai calling on the Union Minister for Defence, Shri Rajnath Singh, in New Delhi on July 30 2021.jpg
| turnout =
| leader2 = [[D. K. Shivakumar]]
| outgoing_members = 16th Karnataka Assembly
| image2 = [[File:DK Shivakumar.jpg|100px]]
| elected_members =  
| leader3 = [[H. D. Kumaraswamy]]
| image2 = {{CSS image crop|Image=R. Ashoka.jpg|bSize=120|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=10|oTop=5|Location=center}}
| image3 = H. D. Kumaraswamy.jpg
| leader2 = [[R. Ashoka]]
| alliance1 = National Democratic Alliance
| leader_since2 = 2008
| alliance2 = United Progressive Alliance
| leaders_seat2 = [[Padmanabhanagar Assembly constituency|Padmanabhanagar]]
| alliance3 = -
| last_election2 = 36.00%, 66 seats
| party3 = Janata Dal (Secular)
| party2 = Bharatiya Janata Party
| seats_before3 = 32
| alliance2 = National Democratic Alliance
| leaders_seat1 = [[Shiggaon (Karnataka Assembly constituency)|Shiggaon]]
| seats2 =
| leaders_seat2 = [[Kanakapura (Vidhana Sabha constituency)|Kanakapura]]
| seat_change1 =  
| leaders_seat3 = [[Channapatna (Vidhana Sabha constituency)|Channapatna]]
| popular_vote1 =  
| percentage1 =  
| swing1 =  
| image1 = {{CSS image crop|Image=The Chief Minister of Karnataka Siddaramaiah visits PMO.jpg|bSize=120|cWidth=100|cHeight=120|oLeft=10|oTop=5}}
| image1_size = 130px
| leader1 = [[Siddaramaiah]]
| leader_since1 = 2013
| party1 = Indian National Congress
| alliance1 = Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance
| leaders_seat1 = [[Varuna Assembly constituency|Varuna]]
| last_election1 = 42.88%, 135 seats
| seats1 =
| seat_change2 =
| popular_vote2 =
| percentage2 =
| swing2 =
| title = [[Chief Minister of Karnataka|Chief Minister]]
| title = [[Chief Minister of Karnataka|Chief Minister]]
| before_election = [[Basavaraj Bommai]]
| before_election = [[Siddaramaiah]]
| before_party = Bharatiya Janata Party
| before_party = Indian National Congress
| map_image = File:Wahlkreise zur Vidhan Sabha von Karnataka.svg
| after_election =  
| last_election1 = 36.35%, 104 seats
| after_party =  
| last_election2 = 38.14%, 80 seats
| seats_before1 = 136
| last_election3 = 18.3%, 37 seats
| seats_needed1 = {{steady}}
| leader_since1 = 2021
| seats_before2 = 62
| leader_since2 = 2020
| seats_needed2 = {{increase}} 51
| leader_since3 = 2006
}}
}}


The next [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly]] election is scheduled to be held in or before May 2023 to elect all 224 members of the [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly|state's Legislative Assembly]].<ref>{{Cite web|title=Kumaraswamy planning to restructure JD(S) ahead of 2023 Karnataka assembly polls|url=https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/bangalore/kumaraswamy-planning-to-restructure-jds-ahead-of-2023-karnataka-assembly-polls-7133567/|access-date=2021-04-28|website=The Indian Express|language=en}}</ref>
The '''Next Karnataka legislative assembly election''' is expected to be held in May 2028 to elect all 224 members of the [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly]]. [[Siddaramaiah]] is the incumbent [[List of chief ministers of Karnataka|Chief Minister]] of [[Karnataka]].<ref>{{Cite web|title=HDK predicts snap election in state before 2028|url=https://www.newindianexpress.com/states/karnataka/2024/Oct/07/hdk-predicts-snap-election-in-state-before-2028 |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=The New Indian Express}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=DK Shivakumar welcomes Congress sweep in Karnataka bypolls: 'Harbinger of 2028'|url=https://www.indiatoday.in/elections/assembly/story/karnataka-bypolls-results-dk-shivakumar-welcomes-congress-sweep-in-karnataka-by-election-harbinger-of-2028-2638935-2024-11-23 |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=India Today}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Will become Karnataka CM again before 2028, says HD Kumaraswamy|url=https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/bengaluru-news/will-become-karnataka-cm-again-before-2028-says-hd-kumaraswamy-101729392834598.html |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=Hindustan Times}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title='Congress government in Karnataka won't last till 2028', claims HD Kumaraswamy, former Karnataka CM|url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/congress-government-in-karnataka-wont-last-till-2028-claims-hd-kumaraswamy-former-karnataka-cm/articleshow/114393109.cms?from=mdr |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=The Economic Times}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Women's power will drive Congress back to power in 2028: Karnataka Deputy CM Shivakumar|url=https://www.aninews.in/news/national/politics/womens-power-will-drive-congress-back-to-power-in-2028-karnataka-deputy-cm-shivakumar20241017211242/ |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=ANI News}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=With women’s empowerment, Congress will win Karnataka in 2028 elections: CM Siddaramaiah|url=https://www.newindianexpress.com/states/karnataka/2024/Oct/18/with-womens-empowerment-congress-will-win-karnataka-in-2028-elections-cm-siddaramaiah |access-date=2025-01-28 |website=The New Indian Express}}</ref>
 
== Background ==
The tenure of [[Karnataka Legislative Assembly]] is scheduled to end on 24 May 2023.<ref>{{Cite web|title=Terms of the Houses|url=https://eci.gov.in/elections/term-of-houses/|access-date=2021-10-03|website=Election Commission of India|language=en-IN}}</ref> The [[2018 Karnataka Legislative Assembly election|previous assembly elections]] were held in May 2018. After the election, [[Bharatiya Janata Party]] formed the [[Government of Karnataka|state government]], with [[B. S. Yediyurappa]] becoming [[List of chief ministers of Karnataka|Chief Minister]].


==Schedule==
==Schedule==
{| class="wikitable"
{| class="wikitable"
|-
|-
Line 67: Line 78:
|-
|-
| Date of Poll
| Date of Poll
| '''TBD'''
| '''TBD'''
|-
|-
| Date of Counting of Votes
| Date of Counting of Votes
| '''TBD'''
| '''TBD'''
|}
 
== Parties and Alliances ==
=== {{legend2|{{party color|Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance}}|[[Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance]]}} ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
! colspan="2" | Party
!Flag
!Symbol
!Photo
!Leader
!Seats contested
|-
|{{party color cell|Indian National Congress}}
|[[Indian National Congress]]
| [[File:INC Flag Official.jpg|50px]]
| [[File:INC Hand.svg|50px]]
| [[File:Siddaramaiah at the function to commemorate the serving of 2 billion meals of the Akshaya Patra Foundation in Karnataka (cropped).jpg|50px]]
| [[Siddaramaiah]]
|
|-
|}
 
=== {{legend2|{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}|[[National Democratic Alliance]]}} ===
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;"
! colspan="2" | Party
!Flag
!Symbol
!Photo
!Leader
!Seats contested
|-
|{{party color cell|Bharatiya Janata Party}}
|[[Bharatiya Janata Party]]
|[[File:BJP_flag.svg|50px]]
|[[File:Lotus flower symbol.svg|50px]]
|[[File:R. Ashoka.jpg|50px]]
|[[R. Ashoka]]
|
|-
|style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Janata Dal (Secular)}};color:white"|
|[[Janata Dal (Secular)]]
|[[File:JD(S) Flag.png|50px]]
|[[File:Indian election symbol female farmer.svg|50px]]
|[[File:JDS chief Kumaraswamy.jpg|50px]]
|[[H. D. Kumaraswamy]]
|
|}
 
==Opinion polling==
===Seats and vote share projections===
{|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px;"
|+Seat share projections
!rowspan="2"|Polling agency
!rowspan="2"|Date published
!rowspan="2"|Sample size
!rowspan="2"|Margin of error
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|
|bgcolor={{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}|
|bgcolor={{party color|Janata Dal (Secular)}}|
|bgcolor=grey|
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
![[Indian National Congress|INC]]
![[Bharatiya Janata Party|BJP]]
![[Janata Dal (Secular)|JD(S)]]
!Others
|-
|People's Pulse
|''May 2025''<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/bengaluru-news/survey-suggests-bjp-could-win-majority-in-karnataka-today-siddaramaiah-still-top-cm-choice-report-101748078948537.html| title=Survey suggests BJP could win majority in Karnataka today; Siddaramaiah still top CM choice: Report|work=Hindustan Times|accessdate=24 May 2025}}</ref>
|10,481
|±3–5%
|69
|bgcolor={{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}|'''145'''
|6
|0
|bgcolor={{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}|'''BJP'''
|-
!colspan="4"|''2023 election results''
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|'''''135'''''
!''66''
!''19''
!''4''
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|'''''INC'''''
|}
 
{|class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px;"
|+Vote share projections
!rowspan="2"|Polling agency
!rowspan="2"|Date published
!rowspan="2"|Sample size
!rowspan="2"|Margin of error
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|
|bgcolor={{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}|
|bgcolor={{party color|Janata Dal (Secular)}}|
|bgcolor=grey|
!rowspan="2"|Lead
|-
![[Indian National Congress|INC]]
![[Bharatiya Janata Party|BJP]]
![[Janata Dal (Secular)|JD(S)]]
!Others
|-
|People's Pulse
|''May 2025''<ref>{{cite web | url=https://www.deccanherald.com/india/karnataka/bengaluru/bjp-expected-to-come-back-to-power-in-karnataka-if-assembly-elections-held-today-survey-3555227| title=BJP expected to come back to power in Karnataka if assembly elections held today: Survey|work=Deccan Herald|accessdate=24 May 2025}}</ref>
|10,481
|±3–5%
|40.2
|bgcolor={{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}|'''50.9'''
|5.9
|3.2
|bgcolor={{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}|'''10.7'''
|-
!colspan="4"|''2023 election results''
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|'''''42.88%'''''
!''36%''
!''13.3%''
!''7.82%''
|bgcolor={{party color|Indian National Congress}}|'''''INC'''''
|}
|}


==See also==
* [[Elections in Karnataka]]
* [[Politics of Karnataka]]


==References==
==References==
{{reflist}}
{{Reflist}}
{{notelist}}


{{Karnataka elections}}
{{Karnataka elections}}
{{Next Indian elections}}


[[Category:State Assembly elections in Karnataka]]
[[Category:State Assembly elections in Karnataka]]
[[Category:Future elections in India|Karnataka]]
[[Category:Future elections in India]]

Latest revision as of 10:51, 31 January 2026


Next Karnataka Legislative Assembly election

← 2023 By May 2028 2033 →

All 224 seats in the Karnataka Legislative Assembly
113 seats needed for a majority
 
The Chief Minister of Karnataka Siddaramaiah visits PMO.jpg
R. Ashoka.jpg
Leader Siddaramaiah R. Ashoka
Party INC BJP
Alliance Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance NDA
Leader since 2013 2008
Leader's seat Varuna Padmanabhanagar
Last election 42.88%, 135 seats 36.00%, 66 seats
Current seats 136 62
Seats needed Steady Increase 51

Map of the assembly constituencies in Karnataka

Incumbent Chief Minister

Siddaramaiah
INC



The Next Karnataka legislative assembly election is expected to be held in May 2028 to elect all 224 members of the Karnataka Legislative Assembly. Siddaramaiah is the incumbent Chief Minister of Karnataka.[1][2][3][4][5][6]

Schedule[edit | edit source]

Poll Event Schedule
Notification Date TBD
Last Date for filing nomination TBD
Scrutiny of nomination TBD
Last Date for Withdrawal of nomination TBD
Date of Poll TBD
Date of Counting of Votes TBD

Parties and Alliances[edit | edit source]

  Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance[edit | edit source]

Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
Indian National Congress Siddaramaiah

  National Democratic Alliance[edit | edit source]

Party Flag Symbol Photo Leader Seats contested
Bharatiya Janata Party File:BJP flag.svg R. Ashoka
Janata Dal (Secular) H. D. Kumaraswamy

Opinion polling[edit | edit source]

Seats and vote share projections[edit | edit source]

Seat share projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
INC BJP JD(S) Others
People's Pulse May 2025[7] 10,481 ±3–5% 69 145 6 0 BJP
2023 election results 135 66 19 4 INC
Vote share projections
Polling agency Date published Sample size Margin of error Lead
INC BJP JD(S) Others
People's Pulse May 2025[8] 10,481 ±3–5% 40.2 50.9 5.9 3.2 10.7
2023 election results 42.88% 36% 13.3% 7.82% INC

See also[edit | edit source]

References[edit | edit source]

  1. "HDK predicts snap election in state before 2028". The New Indian Express. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  2. "DK Shivakumar welcomes Congress sweep in Karnataka bypolls: 'Harbinger of 2028'". India Today. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  3. "Will become Karnataka CM again before 2028, says HD Kumaraswamy". Hindustan Times. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  4. "'Congress government in Karnataka won't last till 2028', claims HD Kumaraswamy, former Karnataka CM". The Economic Times. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  5. "Women's power will drive Congress back to power in 2028: Karnataka Deputy CM Shivakumar". ANI News. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  6. "With women's empowerment, Congress will win Karnataka in 2028 elections: CM Siddaramaiah". The New Indian Express. Retrieved 28 January 2025.
  7. "Survey suggests BJP could win majority in Karnataka today; Siddaramaiah still top CM choice: Report". Hindustan Times. Retrieved 24 May 2025.
  8. "BJP expected to come back to power in Karnataka if assembly elections held today: Survey". Deccan Herald. Retrieved 24 May 2025.