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{{short description|Indian polling agency}} | |||
{{Multiple issues| | {{Multiple issues| | ||
{{Advert|date=March 2021}} | {{Advert|date=March 2021}} | ||
{{Self-published|date=April 2021}} | {{Self-published|date=April 2021}} | ||
}} | }} | ||
'''Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research''', or '''CVoter''', is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in [[Delhi]], [[India]].<ref | '''Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research''', or '''CVoter''', is an Indian international polling agency headquartered in [[Delhi]], [[India]].<ref name="opencorporates" /> | ||
==Organization== | |||
Yashwant Deshmukh is the director and founding editor of CVoter.<ref name="opencorporates">{{Cite web|url=https://opencorporates.com/companies/in/U74120DL2000PTC108475|title=C-VOTER NEWS SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITED :: OpenCorporates|website=opencorporates.com|access-date=2018-08-03}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |title=Trustees |url=https://sprf.in/our-people/trustees/ |website=SPRF |access-date=4 December 2021}}</ref> | |||
==Clients== | |||
CVoter India states that it has covered 15 union budgets, more than 100 state elections and more than 30 international events. Since 2000 it has worked with Times Now, ANN7,<ref>http://www.ann7.com/tracker-predicts-anc-victory/</ref> [[United Press International]],<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2016/09/12/UPICVoter-poll-Donald-Trump-widens-lead-over-Hillary-Clinton-to-3-points/1571473691414/|title=UPI/CVoter poll: Donald Trump widens lead over Hillary Clinton to 3 points|website=UPI}}</ref> [[Reuters]], [[Bloomberg News]], [[BBC News]], [[Aaj Tak]], [[Abp News]], [[Zee News]], [[Zee Business]], the Development and Educational Communication Unit of the [[Indian Space Research Organisation]], [[India TV]], [[Lok Sabha TV]], UTVi business news channel (owned by [[UTV Software Communications]]), Sahara Samay (owned by [[Sahara India Pariwar]]), Jain TV, [[Asianet (TV channel)|Asianet]], ETV, CNEB and other news and information providers.<ref name="About Us">{{cite web|url=http://teamcvoter.com/?page_id=141|title=About Us - Team CVoter|publisher=C Voter|accessdate=6 April 2014}}</ref><ref name="Clients">{{cite web|title=Clients - Team CVoter|url=http://teamcvoter.com/?page_id=190|publisher=C Voter|accessdate=10 May 2014}}</ref> Studies have included market research,<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.indiatoday.in/movies/celebrities/story/deepika-padukone-priyanka-chopra-katrina-kaif-kareena-kapoor-anushka-sharma-bollywood-actor-survey-337374-2016-08-26|title=Deepika Padukone trumps Priyanka Chopra as Bollywood's most popular actress|first1=Hardeep Dugal|last1=MumbaiAugust 26|first2=2016UPDATED|last2=August 26|first3=2016 18:17|last3=Ist|website=India Today}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.indiatoday.in/movies/celebrities/story/salman-shah-rukh-popular-actor-bollywood-mood-of-the-nation-survey-337377-2016-08-26|title=Salman Khan pips Shah Rukh Khan, Amitabh Bachchan to be voted Bollywood's most popular actor|first1=Hardeep Dugal|last1=MumbaiAugust 26|first2=2016UPDATED|last2=August 26|first3=2016 17:56|last3=Ist|website=India Today}}</ref> conflict resolution research,<ref>{{Cite web|url=http://www.peacepolls.org/cgi-bin/generic?instanceID=17|title=Peace Polls, Kashmir|website=www.peacepolls.org}}</ref> and opinion polls.<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://assemblyelectionsindia.com/india-tv-cvoter-survey-up-election-result-polls/ |title=Archived copy |access-date=2016-09-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160928025410/http://assemblyelectionsindia.com/india-tv-cvoter-survey-up-election-result-polls/ |archive-date=2016-09-28 |url-status=dead }}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.indiatvnews.com/politics/national-india-tv-cvoter-survey-bjp-sp-neck-and-neck-bsp-third-in-up-assembly-poll-stakes-346408|title=India TV-CVoter survey: BJP, SP neck and neck, BSP third in UP assembly poll stakes|first=Raj|last=Singh|date=September 2, 2016|website=www.indiatvnews.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/AAP-may-win-94-100-of-117-Punjab-assembly-seats-HuffPost-CVoter-survey/articleshow/51640505.cms|title = AAP may win 94-100 of 117 Punjab assembly seats: HuffPost-CVoter survey | India News - Times of India}}</ref> | |||
==2022 State Elections== | |||
===[[2022_Punjab_Legislative_Assembly_election#Opinion_polls|Punjab]]=== | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%" | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="175px" |Polling agency | |||
|bgcolor="{{party color|United Progressive Alliance}}"| | |||
|bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"| | |||
|bgcolor="{{party color|Shiromani Akali Dal}}"| | |||
|bgcolor="{{party color|National Democratic Alliance}}"| | |||
|bgcolor="gray"| | |||
! rowspan="2" width="75px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Remarks | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;"|UPA | |||
! style="width:75px;"|AAP | |||
! style="width:75px;"|SAD+ | |||
! style="width:75px;"|NDA | |||
! style="width:75px;"|Others | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="2" |11 December 2021 | |||
|rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref> {{Cite web|last=|first=|date=2021-12-11|title=ABP News-CVoter Survey: AAP Most Favourite In Punjab, BJP Could Retain Uttarakhand|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-survey-aap-on-top-in-punjab-bjp-could-retain-uttarakhand-despite-anti-incumbency-1499117|url-status=live|access-date=2021-12-11|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}} </ref> | |||
| 39-45 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''50-56''' | |||
| 17-23 | |||
|0-3 | |||
|0-1 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''5-16''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' <br>Single largest party : AAP | |||
|- | |||
|34.1% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''38.4%''' | |||
|20.4% | |||
|2.6% | |||
|4.5% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''4.3%''' | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="2" |12 November 2021 | |||
|rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=12 November 2021|title=ABP-CVoter Survey: AAP To Emerge As Single Largest Party In Punjab, BJP To Bag 0-1 Seat|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-c-voter-survey-november-opinion-polls-punjab-election-2022-vote-share-seat-sharing-kbm-bjp-congress-sad-aap-1492996|url-status=live|access-date=14 November 2021|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| 42-50 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''47-53''' | |||
| 16-24 | |||
|0-1 | |||
|0-1 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''0-11''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' <br>Single largest party : AAP | |||
|- | |||
|34.9% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''36.5%''' | |||
|20.6% | |||
|2.2% | |||
|5.8% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''1.6%''' | |||
|- | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="2" |8 October 2021 | |||
|rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=8 October 2021|title=ABP-CVoter Survey: Will Punjab Congress Crisis Benefit AAP, SAD-BSP Alliance In Election?|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-survey-snap-poll-punjab-election-2022-kaun-banerga-mukhyamantri-final-vote-share-seat-share-1486671|url-status=live|access-date=9 October 2021|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| 39-47 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''49-55''' | |||
| 17-25 | |||
|0-1 | |||
|0-1 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''2-16''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' <br>Single largest party : AAP | |||
|- | |||
|31.8% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''35.9%''' | |||
|22.5% | |||
|3.8% | |||
|6.0% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''5.1%''' | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="2" |4 September 2021 | |||
|rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Menon|first=Aditya|date=4 September 2021|title=ABP-CVoter Survey's Biggest Takeaway: AAP Is Harming Congress in 3 States|url=https://www.thequint.com/news/politics/abp-cvoter-survey-aap-congress-uttarakhand-goa-punjab-arvind-kejriwal-rahul-gandhi|access-date=4 September 2021|website=TheQuint|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| 38-46 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''51-57''' | |||
|16-24 | |||
|0-1 | |||
|0-1 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}" style="color:white"|'''5-19''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' <br>Single largest party : AAP | |||
|- | |||
|28.8% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''35.1%''' | |||
|21.8% | |||
|7.3% | |||
|7.0% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''6.3%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" |19 March 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Bureau|first=ABP News|date=19 March 2021|title=ABP-CVoter Survey, Punjab Predictions: In Battle Between Congress & AAP, Where Does SAD, BJP Stand?|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-punjab-survey-election-seat-projection-vote-share-bjp-vs-inc-vs-akali-dal-others-march-2021-1449212|access-date=11 July 2021|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
|43-49 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''51-57''' | |||
|12-18 | |||
|0-3 | |||
|0-5 | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''2-14''' | |||
|rowspan="2"|'''Hung''' <br>Single largest party : AAP | |||
|- | |||
|31.5% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''36.5%''' | |||
|21.3% | |||
|5.0% | |||
|5.7% | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}}"style="color:white"|'''5.0%''' | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
=== [[2022 Uttarakhand Legislative Assembly election|Uttarakhand]] === | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px" | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date | |||
! rowspan="2" width="175px" |Polling agency | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}" | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Aam Aadmi Party}} " | | |||
! style="background:gray;{{party color|other}} " | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="50px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Remarks | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Bharatiya Janata Party|BJP]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Indian National Congress|INC]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Aam Aadmi Party|AAP]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |Others | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" |10 January 2022 | |||
| rowspan="2" |ABP News - C-Voter<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=2022-01-10|title=ABP CVoter Survey LIVE: Will BJP Return In UP, Uttarakhand, Goa? Who Will Form Govt In Punjab?|url=https://news.abplive.com/elections/abp-cvoter-survey-live-updates-up-punjab-goa-manipur-uttarakhand-election-2022-opinion-poll-january-vote-share-seat-kbm-news-1505525|url-status=live|access-date=2022-01-10|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=2022-01-10|title=उत्तराखंड में बीजेपी और कांग्रेस में कड़ी टक्कर, सर्वे में बड़ा खुलासा|url=https://www.abplive.com/elections/abp-news-c-voter-survey-january-opinion-polls-uttarakhand-elections-2022-predictions-vote-share-seat-sharing-kbm-bjp-congress-2035727|url-status=live|access-date=2022-01-10|website=www.abplive.com|language=hi}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |'''31-37''' | |||
|30-36 | |||
|2-4 | |||
|0-1 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''0-7''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |'''38.6%''' | |||
|37.2% | |||
|12.6% | |||
|11.7% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''1.4%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" | 11 December 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" | [[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=2021-12-11|title=ABP News-CVoter Survey: BJP Could Retain Uttarakhand Despite Anti-Incumbency|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-survey-aap-on-top-in-punjab-bjp-could-retain-uttarakhand-despite-anti-incumbency-1499117|url-status=live|access-date=2021-12-11|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |'''33-39''' | |||
| 29-35 | |||
| 1-3 | |||
| 0-1 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |'''0-10''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''39.8%''' | |||
| 35.7% | |||
|12.6% | |||
|11.9% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''4.1%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" | 12 November 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" | [[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=|first=|date=2021-11-12|title=ABP-CVoter 2022 Uttarakhand Election Survey: BJP Ahead In Hill State But Congress Closing Gap|url=https://news.abplive.com/states/up-uk/abp-news-c-voter-survey-november-opinion-polls-uttarakhand-state-elections-2022-predictions-uttarakhand-vote-share-seat-sharing-kbm-bjp-congress-1492989|url-status=live|access-date=2021-11-14|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |'''36-40''' | |||
| 30-34 | |||
| 0-2 | |||
| 0-1 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"| | |||
'''2-10''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''BJP majority''' | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''41.4%''' | |||
| 36.3% | |||
|11.8% | |||
|10.5% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''5.1%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" | 8 October 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" | [[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-survey-snap-poll-uttarakhand-election-2022-kaun-banerga-mukhyamantri-final-vote-share-seat-share-1486679|title = ABP-CVoter Survey: Will BJP Maintain Stronghold in Uttarakhand Under CM Dhami's Leadership?|date = 8 October 2021}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''42-46''' | |||
| 21-25 | |||
| 0-4 | |||
| 0-2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"| | |||
'''17-25''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''BJP majority''' | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''44.6%''' | |||
| 34.0% | |||
|14.7% | |||
| 6.7% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''10.6%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" | 3 September 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" | [[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Bureau|first=ABP News|date=2021-09-03|title=ABP - Cvoter 2022 Election Survey: BJP Yet Again In The Driver's Seat In Uttarakhand|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-survey-uttarakhand-assembly-election-2022-predictions-vote-share-seat-sharing-kaun-banega-mukhyamantri-bjp-congress-1480076|access-date=2021-09-05|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''44-48''' | |||
| 19-23 | |||
| 0-4 | |||
| 0-2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"| | |||
'''21-29''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''BJP majority''' | |||
|- | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
'''43.1%''' | |||
| 32.6% | |||
|14.6% | |||
| 9.7% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}"|'''10.5%''' | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="2" |18 March 2021 | |||
| rowspan="2" |[[ABP News]] - [[CVoter|C-Voter]]<ref>{{Cite web|last=Bureau|first=ABP News|date=2021-03-18|title=ABP-CVoter Uttarakhand Predictions: BJP's Loss Likely To Be Congress' Gain; Will Anti-Incumbency Set In?|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-uttarakhand-survey-election-seat-vote-share-projection-uttarakhand-seat-projection-bjp-vs-inc-vs-others-1449068|access-date=2021-08-09|website=news.abplive.com|language=en}}</ref> | |||
|24-30 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}"| | |||
'''32-38''' | |||
|2-8 | |||
|0-9 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}"| | |||
'''2-14''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Hung''' | |||
|- | |||
|38.3% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}"| | |||
'''40.8%''' | |||
|9.2% | |||
|11.7% | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}"|'''2.5%''' | |||
|} | |||
==2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)== | ==2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam & Puducherry)== | ||
===[[2021 Assam Legislative Assembly election|Assam]]=== | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:20px" | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Poll type | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="175px" |Polling agency | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Indian National Congress}}" | | |||
! style="background:darkgrey" | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="95px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Ref. | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;"|NDA | |||
! style="width:75px;"|Mahajot | |||
! style="width:75px;"|Others | |||
|- | |||
! rowspan="2" |Exit poll | |||
! rowspan="2" |29 April 2021 | |||
!ABP News- CVoter | |||
|58-71 | |||
|53-66 | |||
|0-5 | |||
|style="background:gray; color:white" |Hung | |||
|<ref name="ndtvexpo">{{cite news |last1=Tiwari |first1=Vaibhav |title=BJP Likely To Retain Power In Assam, Predicts Poll Of Exit Polls |url=https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/exit-poll-results-2021-assam-tamil-nadu-puducherry-kerala-west-bengal-2424692 |access-date=4 December 2021 |work=NDTV.com |date=29 April 2021}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!Times Now-CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|65 | |||
|59 | |||
|2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''6'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/assam/article/assam-election-exit-polls/750960 |title=Assam Exit polls 2021: Northeastern state votes for NDA |work=Times Now |date=29 April 2021 |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!rowspan=6 align=center|Opinion poll | |||
!rowspan=2 align=center|24 March 2021 | |||
!Times Now-CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|65-73 | |||
|52-60 | |||
|0-4 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''5-21'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |title=NDA set to retain power despite stiff UPA fight, reveals Times Now CVoter tracker |url=https://www.timesnownews.com/amp/india/assam/article/assam-election-opinion-poll/736661 |work=Times Now |date=24 March 2021 |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!ABP News- CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|65-73 | |||
|52-60 | |||
|0-4 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''5-21'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |title=NDA To Retain Power In Assam Despite CAA-NRC Protests, Congress Not Far Behind |url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-results-assam-final-opinion-poll-results-2021-congress-bjp-aiudf-agpp-vote-share-seat-wise-details-1449955 |date=24 March 2021 |work=ABP News |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!15 March 2021 | |||
!ABP News- CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|64-72 | |||
|52-60 | |||
|0-2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''4-20'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |title=ABP Opinion Poll: BJP-Led NDA Likely To Return To Power In Assam, Congress-Led UPA Not Far Behind |url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-results-assam-opinion-poll-results-2021-congress-bjp-aiudf-agpp-vote-share-seat-wise-details-1448635 |date=15 March 2021 |work=ABP News |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!8 March 2021 | |||
!Times Now-CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|67 | |||
|57 | |||
|2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''10'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |title=Assam pre-poll survey 2021: 'BJP-led NDA to win thin majority; Sarbananda Sonowal favoured as CM' |url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/assam/article/assam-election-pre-poll-survey/729815 |date=8 March 2021 |work=Times Now |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!27 February 2021 | |||
!ABP News- CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|68-76 | |||
|47-55 | |||
|0-3 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''13-29'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{cite news |title=BJP Expected Sweep Elections With 68-76 Seats; Congress Lags Behind With 43-51 Seats |url=https://news.abplive.com/news/abp-news-c-voter-opinion-poll-assam-elections-2021-opinion-poll-results-kaun-banega-assam-mukhyamantri-congress-bjp-aiudf-agp-1446219 |date=27 February 2021 |work=ABP News |language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
!18 January 2021 | |||
!ABP News- CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FAD6A5;"|73-81 | |||
|41-49 | |||
|0-4 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;"> '''24-40'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-01-18|title=ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll Live: People In Bengal Satisfied With Mamata, TMC To Regain Power|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-c-voter-2021-opinion-poll-live-updates-kaun-banega-mukhyamantri-assembly-election-5-states-wb-election-opinion-poll-kerala-election-opinion-poll-puducherry-tamil-nadu-manipur-opinion-poll-results-stats-1439900|access-date=2021-01-18|website=ABP Live|language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:20px" | |||
|+Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="115px" | Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="115px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="195px" |Election Results | |||
! style="background:{{party color|National Democratic Alliance (India)}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|United Progressive Alliance}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Independent}}" | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="85px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Ref. | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:95px;"|[[National Democratic Alliance (India)|NDA]] | |||
! style="width:95px;"|[[United Progressive Alliance|Mahajot]] | |||
! style="width:95px;"|[[Independent politician|Independent]] | |||
|- | |||
| '''[[2021 Assam Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]]''' | |||
| 2 May 2021 | |||
| '''[[2021 Assam Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]]''' | |||
| style="background:FAD6A5" |'''75''' | |||
| '''50''' | |||
| '''1''' | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}; color:white" |'''25''' | |||
| <ref>{{cite web |title=Assam General Legislative Election 2021 |url=https://eci.gov.in/files/file/13620-assam-general-legislative-election-2021/ |website=Election Commission of India |access-date=6 December 2021 |language=en-IN}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
===[[2021 Kerala Legislative Assembly election|Kerala]]=== | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:20px" | |||
! rowspan="2" width="150px" | Type of polls | |||
! rowspan="2" width="150px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="250px" |Polling agency | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|United Democratic Front (Kerala)}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|National Democratic Alliance (India)}}" | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="75px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Ref. | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[Left Democratic Front (Kerala)|LDF]] | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[United Democratic Front (Kerala)|UDF]] | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[National Democratic Alliance (India)|NDA]] | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="7"|Opinion Poll | |||
|rowspan="2"|24 March 2021 | |||
|[[Mathrubhumi]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''73–83''' | |||
|56–66 | |||
|0–1 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|2–12 | |||
|<ref>{{cite web|title=എല്.ഡി.എഫിന് ഭരണത്തുടര്ച്ച, ലഭിക്കുക 73-83 സീറ്റ് ; മാതൃഭൂമി ന്യൂസ്-സീ വോട്ടര് രണ്ടാംഘട്ട സര്വേ|url=https://www.mathrubhumi.com/election/2021/kerala-assembly-election/mathrubhumi-c-voter-second-phase-opinion-poll-1.5541350|access-date=2021-03-24|website=Mathrubhumi|language=ml}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|[[Times Now]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''77''' | |||
|62 | |||
|1 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|6 | |||
|<ref>{{cite web|title=Times Now's Kerala Opinion Poll 2021 projects win for LDF in upcoming Assembly Elections 2021|url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/kerala/article/kerala-election-opinion-poll/736689|access-date=2021-03-24|website=Times Now}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|19 March 2021 | |||
|[[Mathrubhumi News]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''75-83 (79)''' | |||
|55–60 (57) | |||
|0–2 (1) | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|4–12 (8) | |||
|<ref>{{cite web|title=ഭരണത്തുടര്ച്ച പ്രവചിച്ച് മാതൃഭൂമി-സിവോട്ടര് അഭിപ്രായ സര്വേ: ഇടതുപക്ഷം 75-83 സീറ്റുകള് നേടും|url=https://www.mathrubhumi.com/mobile/election/2021/kerala-assembly-election/mathrubhumi-news-c-voter-opinion-poll-2021-1.5528351|access-date=2021-03-19|website=Mathrubhumi|language=ml}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|rowspan="1"|15 March 2021 | |||
|[[ABP News]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;" |'''77–85''' | |||
|54–62 | |||
|0–2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|6–14 | |||
|<ref>{{cite web|title=ABP CVoter Opinion Poll 2021: Pinarayi Vijayan-Led LDF Likely To Return To Power, BJP Fails To Impress|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-results-kerala-opinion-poll-results-2021-congress-bjp-cpim-vote-share-seat-wise-details-1448595|access-date=2021-03-15|website=ABP Live}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|8 March 2021 | |||
|[[Times Now]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''82''' | |||
|56 | |||
|1 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|11 | |||
|<ref>{{cite web|title=LDF to retain power in Kerala, no gains for BJP: Times Now-CVoter opinion poll|url=https://m.timesofindia.com/elections/assembly-elections/kerala/ldf-to-retain-power-in-kerala-no-gains-for-bjp-times-now-cvoter-opinion-poll/amp_articleshow/81395663.cms|access-date=2021-03-08|website=The Times of India}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|27 February 2021 | |||
|[[ABP News]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''83–91''' | |||
|47–55 | |||
|0–2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white"|12–20 | |||
|<ref>{{cite news|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/abp-news-c-voter-opinion-poll-kerala-elections-2021-opinion-poll-results-kaun-banega-kerala-cm-congress-bjp-cpim-1446197|title=ABP Kerala Opinion Poll: Pinarayi Vijayan-Led LDF Likely To Sweep Kerala Elections, BJP Fails To Make Impact|publisher=ABP News|date=27 February 2021|access-date=28 February 2021}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|18 January 2021 | |||
|[[ABP News]]–CVoter | |||
|style="background:#FF7676;"|'''81–89''' | |||
|41–47 | |||
|0–2 | |||
|style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white" |10–18 | |||
|<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-01-18|title=ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll LIVE: People In Bengal Satisfied With Mamata, TMC To Regain Power|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-c-voter-2021-opinion-poll-live-updates-kaun-banega-mukhyamantri-assembly-election-5-states-wb-election-opinion-poll-kerala-election-opinion-poll-puducherry-tamil-nadu-manipur-opinion-poll-results-stats-1439900|access-date=2021-01-18|website=ABP Live|language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
| Exit polls | |||
| 29 April 2021 | |||
| ''Times Now / ABP - C-Voter'' | |||
| style="background:#FF7676;" |'''71 - 77''' | |||
| 62 - 68 | |||
| 0 - 2 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white" |1 - 6 | |||
| <ref name="TQ">{{Cite web|title=Kerala: 4 Major Exit Polls Predict Left Return, Big Defeat For UDF|url=https://www.thequint.com/kerala-elections/kerala-assembly-election-exit-poll-results-2021-live-updates|access-date=2021-04-29|website=The Quint|language=en}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:20px" | |||
|+Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="150px" | Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="150px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="250px" |Election Results | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|United Democratic Front (Kerala)}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|National Democratic Alliance (India)}}" | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="75px" |Lead | |||
! rowspan="2" |Ref. | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[Left Democratic Front (Kerala)|LDF]] | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[United Democratic Front (Kerala)|UDF]] | |||
! style="width:75px;"|[[National Democratic Alliance (India)|NDA]] | |||
|- | |||
| '''[[2021 Kerala Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]]''' | |||
| 2 May 2021 | |||
| '''[[2021 Kerala Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]]''' | |||
| style="background:#FF7676;" |'''99''' | |||
| '''41''' | |||
| '''0''' | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Left Democratic Front (Kerala)}}; color:white" |'''58''' | |||
| <ref name="TQ"/> | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
=== Tamil Nadu === | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px" | |||
|+Opinion polls|Election outcome projections as surveyed by various agencies prior to the election day | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Type of Poll | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="215px" |Polling agency | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}}" | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam}} " | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Makkal Needhi Maiam}} " | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Others}} " | | |||
| style="background:gray;{{party color|other}} " | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="75px" |Lead | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam|DMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam|AIADMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam|AMMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Makkal Needhi Maiam|MNM+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Naam Tamilar Katchi|NTK]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |Others {{efn|name=fn2|May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey}} | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="5" |Opinion Poll | |||
|24 Mar 21 | |||
|[[Times Now]] - CVoter<ref>{{cite tweet |user=TimesNow |number=1374729085025284103 |date=24 March 2021 |title=#May2WithTimesNow {{!}} Times Now-CVoter Opinion Poll: Alliance-wise seat share in Tamil Nadu. https://t.co/4ZerPZz9lV |language=en |access-date=3 May 2021 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20210327231937/https://twitter.com/TimesNow/status/1374729085025284103 |archive-date=27 March 2021 |url-status=live}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|177}}''' | |||
|49 | |||
|3 | |||
|3 | |||
|– | |||
|2 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|128}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|15 Mar 21 | |||
|[[ABP News]] - CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|title=ABP CVoter Opinion Poll 2021|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-results-tamil-nadu-opinion-poll-results-2021-aiadmk-dmk-bjp-congress-vote-share-seat-wise-details-1448603|website=ABP Website|date=15 March 2021|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|161 - 169}}''' | |||
|53 - 61 | |||
|1 - 5 | |||
|2 - 6 | |||
| – | |||
|3 - 7 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|100 - 116}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|{{nowrap|8 Mar 21}} | |||
|[[Times Now]]- CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|title=Tamil Nadu pre-poll survey 2021: 'DMK-Congress alliance likely to win big, MK Stalin preferred CM'|url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/tamil-nadu/article/tamil-nadu-election-pre-poll-survey/729782|access-date=2021-04-04|website=Times now news|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|158}}''' | |||
|65 | |||
| – | |||
| – | |||
| – | |||
| – | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|88- 104}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|{{nowrap|27 Feb 21}} | |||
|[[ABP News]]- CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-02-27|title=ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll LIVE: UPA Alliance Predicted To Shine In Tamil Nadu; Voters Mood Not In Favour Of BJP, MNM|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/abp-news-c-voter-opinion-poll-tamil-nadu-elections-2021-opinion-poll-results-who-will-win-tn-cm-post-aiadmk-dmk-bjp-congress-1446212|access-date=2021-01-18|website=ABP Live|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|154 - 162}}''' | |||
|58 - 66 | |||
|1 - 5 | |||
|2 - 6 | |||
| – | |||
|5 - 9 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|88- 104}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|18 Jan 21 | |||
|[[ABP News]]- CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-01-18|title=ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll Live: People In Bengal Satisfied With Mamata, TMC To Regain Power|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-c-voter-2021-opinion-poll-live-updates-kaun-banega-mukhyamantri-assembly-election-5-states-wb-election-opinion-poll-kerala-election-opinion-poll-puducherry-tamil-nadu-manipur-opinion-poll-results-stats-1439900|access-date=2021-01-18|website=ABP Live|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}}" |'''{{font color|white|158 - 166}}''' | |||
|60 - 68 | |||
|2 - 6 | |||
|0 - 4 | |||
| – | |||
|0 - 4 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|90 - 106}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|Exit polls | |||
| rowspan="1" |29 Apr 21 | |||
|[[ABP News|ABP]]/[[Times Now]] - CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-04-29|title=Tamil Nadu Exit Poll Results 2021: DMK-Congress Alliance Set To Storm Into Power, Predicts Times Now/ABP-CVoter {{!}} 🗳️ LatestLY|url=https://www.latestly.com/india/politics/tamil-nadu-exit-poll-results-2021-dmk-congress-alliance-set-to-storm-into-power-predicts-times-nowabp-cvoter-2451254.html|access-date=2021-04-30|website=LatestLY|language=en}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|title=Tamil Nadu Exit Poll 2021: DMK-Congress alliance set to win big; exit for AIADMK+, says Times Now-CVoter poll|url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/tamil-nadu/article/tamil-nadu-election-exit-polls/750963|access-date=2021-04-30|website=Twitter|language=en}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|160 - 172}}''' | |||
|58 - 70 | |||
|0 - 4 | |||
|0 - 2 | |||
| colspan="2" |0 - 3 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|90 - 114}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px" | |||
|+Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="215px" |Election Results | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}}" | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam}} " | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Makkal Needhi Maiam}} " | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Others}} " | | |||
| style="background:gray;{{party color|other}} " | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="75px" |Lead | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam|DMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam|AIADMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Amma Makkal Munnettra Kazagam|AMMK+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Makkal Needhi Maiam|MNM+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Naam Tamilar Katchi|NTK]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |Others {{efn|name=fn2|May include NTK and other parties not asked in survey}} | |||
|- | |||
| [[2021 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]] | |||
| rowspan="1" |2 May 2021 | |||
| [[2021 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election|Election Results]] | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|159}}''' | |||
|75 | |||
|0 | |||
|0 | |||
| colspan="2" |0 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam}};" |'''{{font color|white|84}}''' | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
=== [[2021 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election|West Bengal]] === | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px" | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Type of poll | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="175px" |Polling agency | |||
! style="background:{{party color|All India Trinamool Congress}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Mahajot}} " | | |||
! style="background:gray;{{party color|other}} " | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="50px" |Lead | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[All India Trinamool Congress|AITC+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Bharatiya Janata Party|BJP+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Sanyukta Morcha|SM]] | |||
! style="width:60px;" |Others | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="5" |Opinion Poll | |||
| 24 March 2021 | |||
|Times Now C-Voter <ref>{{Cite web|title=West Bengal Opinion Poll 2021: 'BJP may emerge as force to reckon with; TMC likely to get 160 seats'|url=https://www.timesnownews.com/india/west-bengal/article/west-bengal-election-opinion-poll/736707|access-date=2021-03-26|website=Times Now}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''152-168''' | |||
|104-120 | |||
|18-26 | |||
|0-2 | |||
|style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''32-64''' | |||
|- | |||
|15 March 2021 | |||
|ABP News - C Voter<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-live-updates-west-bengal-poll-tamil-nadu-kerala-assam-puducherry-election-opinion-poll-results-news-1448615|title=ABP News-CVoter Opinion Poll 2021 HIGHLIGHTS: From TMC To AINRC; Know Who Is Leading Where Ahead Of Assembly Polls|date=15 March 2021|website=news.abplive.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-cvoter-opinion-poll-2021-results-west-bengal-opinion-poll-results-2021-mamata-banerjee-tmc-bjp-congress-vote-share-seat-wise-details-1448620|title=ABP Opinion Poll: TMC Still Top Choice In West Bengal, BJP Inches Closer; Cong+Left Nowhere In Race|date=15 March 2021|website=news.abplive.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://bengali.abplive.com/elections/abp-ananda-c-voter-opinion-poll-2021-live-updates-west-bengal-poll-tamil-nadu-kerala-assam-puducherry-election-opinion-poll-results-news-805831|title=WB Election C-Voter Opinion Poll 2021 LIVE: বাংলার মসনদে কে, কী বলছে সি ভোটারের তৃতীয় দফার সমীক্ষা?|first=ওয়েব ডেস্ক, এবিপি|last=আনন্দ|date=15 March 2021|website=bengali.abplive.com}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''150-166''' | |||
|98-114 | |||
|23-31 | |||
|3-5 | |||
|style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''36-52''' | |||
|- | |||
|8 March 2021 | |||
| Times Now - C Voter<ref>{{Cite web|title=West Bengal Pre Poll Survey 2021: Mamata likely to retain power; BJP expected to bag 107 seats|url=https://news.google.com/articles/CAIiEPPjfqho0RSF-AVkPKKZKQoqGQgEKhAIACoHCAowr6n9CjCr4PQCMOTdpQY|access-date=2021-03-09|website=Google News}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''146-162''' | |||
|99-112 | |||
|29-37 | |||
|0 | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''31-63''' | |||
|- | |||
|27 February 2021 | |||
|ABP News - C Voter<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-02-27|title=C-Voter Opinion poll বিধানসভা ভোটে কোন দল ক'টি আসন পেতে পারে? কী বলছে C Voter জনমত সমীক্ষা|url=https://bengali.abplive.com/news/states/abp-ananda-c-voter-opinion-poll-2021-results-tmc-bjp-congress-left-front-party-wise-seat-share-ahead-of-elections-803631|website=ABP Ananda}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-02-27|title=C-Voter Opinion poll কোন দল পেতে পারে কত শতাংশ ভোট? কী বলছে C Voter জনমত সমীক্ষা|url=https://bengali.abplive.com/news/states/abp-ananda-c-voter-opinion-poll-2021-results-tmc-bjp-congress-left-front-party-poll-percentage-ahead-of-elections-803635|website=ABP Ananda}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''148-164''' | |||
|92-108 | |||
|31-39 | |||
|1-5 | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''40-72''' | |||
|- | |||
| 18 January 2021 | |||
| ABP News - CVoter<ref>{{Cite web|date=2021-01-18|title=ABP-CVoter Election 2021 Opinion Poll LIVE: People In Bengal Satisfied With Mamata, TMC To Regain Power|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/abp-news-c-voter-2021-opinion-poll-live-updates-kaun-banega-mukhyamantri-assembly-election-5-states-wb-election-opinion-poll-kerala-election-opinion-poll-puducherry-tamil-nadu-manipur-opinion-poll-results-stats-1439900|access-date=2021-01-18|website=ABP Live}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''158''' | |||
| 102 | |||
| 30 | |||
| 4 | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''56''' | |||
|- | |||
|Exit poll | |||
|29 April 2021 | |||
| ABP News - C-Voter<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TWsTkOH1-vM|title=Exit Poll West Bengal Election Results 2021: কাদের দখলে নবান্ন?|via=YouTube}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/west-bengal-exit-poll-results-2021-bengal-elections-abp-cvoter-exit-poll-results-bjp-tmc-congress-1455220|title=West Bengal Exit Poll: Mamata-Led TMC To Return To Power; BJP To Emerge As Second Largest Party|date=29 April 2021|website=news.abplive.com}}</ref> | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''152-164''' | |||
|109-121 | |||
|14-25 | |||
| - | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''31-55''' | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;font-size:95%;line-height:16px" | |||
|+Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Election Results | |||
! rowspan="2" width="100px" |Date published | |||
! rowspan="2" width="175px" |Election Results | |||
! style="background:{{party color|All India Trinamool Congress}}" | | |||
! style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
! style="text-align:center; background:{{party color|Mahajot}} " | | |||
! style="background:gray;{{party color|other}} " | | |||
! rowspan="2" width="50px" |Lead | |||
|- | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[All India Trinamool Congress|AITC+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Bharatiya Janata Party|BJP+]] | |||
! style="width:75px;" |[[Sanyukta Morcha|SM]] | |||
! style="width:60px;" |Others | |||
|- | |||
| Election Results | |||
|2 May 2021 | |||
|Election Results | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''215''' | |||
|77 | |||
|0 | |||
| - | |||
| style="background:#B0F4B0" |'''138''' | |||
|- | |||
|} | |||
== 2021 Desh Ka Mood by Team Cvoter & ABP News== | |||
ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation’s sentiments with ‘Desh ka Mood’ Survey<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.adgully.com/abp-news-cvoter-gauges-the-nation-s-sentiments-with-desh-ka-mood-survey-99953.html|title=ABP News-CVoter gauges the nation's sentiments with 'Desh ka Mood' Survey|website=www.adgully.com}}</ref> | |||
58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News’ Desh Ka Mood survey <ref>{{Cite web|url=https://mediabrief.com/58-of-people-favor-nda-government-abp-news/|title=58% of people favor NDA government, 28% favor UPA: ABP News' Desh Ka Mood survey|author=The News Desk|date=January 16, 2021}}</ref> | |||
Naveen country’s best CM <ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.dailypioneer.com/2021/state-editions/naveen-country---s-best-cm.html|title=Naveen country's best CM|first=The|last=Pioneer|website=The Pioneer}}</ref> | |||
==2020 Trust on Media Institutions== | ==2020 Trust on Media Institutions== | ||
CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions <ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.freepressjournal.in/india/responsible-journalism-should-not-suffer-ib-minister-prakash-javadekar-slams-trp-driven-news-coverage|title='Responsible journalism should not suffer': I&B Minister Prakash Javadekar slams TRP-driven news coverage|website=Free Press Journal}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.daijiworld.com/news/newsDisplay.aspx?newsID=759661|title=66.5% say newspapers still most important source of information: IANS C Voter Media Tracker|website=www.daijiworld.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://theshillongtimes.com/2020/10/08/74-pc-indians-dont-bank-on-news-channels-for-real-news-anymore-study/|title=74 pc Indians don't bank on news channels for 'real news' anymore: Study|date=October 7, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://telanganatoday.com/74-indians-dont-bank-on-news-channels-for-real-news-survey|title=74% Indians don't bank on news channels for 'real news': Survey|website=Telangana Today}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ommcomnews.com/india-news/76-say-there-is-more-quarrel-than-debate-in-news-channels|title=76% Say There Is More Quarrel Than Debate In News Channels | Nation|date=October 6, 2020}}</ref> | CVoter carried out a survey Trust on Indian media institutions <ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.freepressjournal.in/india/responsible-journalism-should-not-suffer-ib-minister-prakash-javadekar-slams-trp-driven-news-coverage|title='Responsible journalism should not suffer': I&B Minister Prakash Javadekar slams TRP-driven news coverage|website=Free Press Journal}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.daijiworld.com/news/newsDisplay.aspx?newsID=759661|title=66.5% say newspapers still most important source of information: IANS C Voter Media Tracker|website=www.daijiworld.com}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://theshillongtimes.com/2020/10/08/74-pc-indians-dont-bank-on-news-channels-for-real-news-anymore-study/|title=74 pc Indians don't bank on news channels for 'real news' anymore: Study|date=October 7, 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://telanganatoday.com/74-indians-dont-bank-on-news-channels-for-real-news-survey|title=74% Indians don't bank on news channels for 'real news': Survey|website=Telangana Today|date=6 October 2020}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://ommcomnews.com/india-news/76-say-there-is-more-quarrel-than-debate-in-news-channels|title=76% Say There Is More Quarrel Than Debate In News Channels | Nation|date=October 6, 2020}}</ref> | ||
Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.bollywoodlife.com/news-gossip/indian-readers-place-higher-credibility-to-newspapers-survey-finds-1738736/|title=Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds|date=December 2, 2020|website=Bollywood Life}}</ref> | Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.bollywoodlife.com/news-gossip/indian-readers-place-higher-credibility-to-newspapers-survey-finds-1738736/|title=Indian readers place higher credibility to newspapers, survey finds|date=December 2, 2020|website=Bollywood Life}}</ref> | ||
Bihar elections | ==2020 Bihar elections== | ||
Bihar Assembly polls: It had projected 104-128 seats for the NDA and 108-131 seats for the opposition grand alliance. [[National Democratic Alliance|NDA]] secured a total of 125 seats (37.26% votes) while [[Mahagathbandhan (Bihar)|MGB]] won 110 seats (37.23% votes).<ref>{{Cite web|title=So near, yet so far for Tejashwi: MGB got just 0.03% votes less than NDA - Times of India ►|url=https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/assembly-elections/bihar/so-near-yet-so-far-for-tejashwi-mgb-got-just-0-03-votes-less-than-nda/articleshow/79181077.cms|access-date=2020-11-18|website=The Times of India}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.deccanherald.com/election-2020/bihar-assembly-polls-most-exit-polls-miss-the-mark-914136.html|title=Bihar Assembly polls: Most exit polls miss the mark|date=November 11, 2020|website=Deccan Herald}}</ref> | |||
<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.newslaundry.com/2020/11/11/bihar-election-star-pollsters-fumble-as-nda-punches-way-above-expectation|title=Bihar election: Star pollsters fumble as NDA punches way above expectation|first=Ayush|last=Tiwari|website=Newslaundry}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.firstpost.com/politics/bihar-opinion-poll-2020-cvoter-survey-says-nitish-kumar-may-return-chirag-paswan-unlikely-to-be-a-factor-8948041.html|title=Bihar Opinion Poll 2020: CVoter survey says Nitish Kumar may return; Chirag Paswan unlikely to be a factor-Politics News , Firstpost|date=October 24, 2020|website=Firstpost}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.abplive.com/videos/elections/abp-c-voter-survey-bihar-opinion-poll-final-result-1613012|title=Bihar Opinion Poll: जानिए बिहार की सभी 243 सीटों का हाल- किसकी बनेगी सरकार? | ABP-C voter Survey|date=October 24, 2020|website=www.abplive.com}}</ref> | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;line-height:20px;" | |||
|- | |||
! rowspan="2" class="wikitable" style="width:180px;" | Polling type | |||
! rowspan="2" class="wikitable" style="width:180px;" | Date | |||
! rowspan="2" class="wikitable" style="width:180px;" | Polling Agency | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" | | |||
| bgcolor=#008000 | | |||
| bgcolor="{{party color|Lok Janshakti Party}}" | | |||
| style="background:gray;" | | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Majority''' | |||
| rowspan="2" |'''Ref''' | |||
|- | |||
! class="wikitable" style="width:70px;"| NDA | |||
! class="wikitable" style="width:70px;"| MGB | |||
! class="wikitable" style="width:70px;"| LJP | |||
! class="wikitable" style="width:70px;"| Others | |||
|- | |||
| rowspan="4" |[[Opinion poll]] | |||
|- | |||
|24 October 2020 | |||
|ABP-CVoter | |||
| {{Party shading/BJP}} | 135-159 | |||
| 77-98 | |||
| colspan="2" | 5-13 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;">'''13-37'''</span> | |||
|<ref name=":4">{{Cite web|date=2020-10-24|title=Bihar Elections ABP-CVoter Opinion Poll Highlights: JDU-BJP Set To Rule Bihar Again; Projected To Win 135-159 Seats, RJD+ Likely To Bag 77-98 Seats|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/bihar-election-opinion-poll-live-updates-abp-cvoter-opinion-poll-who-will-win-bihar-assembly-elections-seatwise-opinion-poll-results-1372139|access-date=2020-11-01|website=news.abplive.com}}</ref> | |||
Bihar | |- | ||
|12 October 2020 | |||
|Times Now-CVoter | |||
| {{Party shading/BJP}} | 160 | |||
| 76 | |||
|Colspan=2| 7 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;">'''39'''</span> | |||
|<ref>{{Cite web|title=Bihar election opinion polls: NDA projected to win 160 seats; BJP to emerge as single-largest party - Times of India|url=https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections/assembly-elections/bihar/bihar-election-opinion-polls-nda-likely-to-secure-160-seats-bjp-to-emerge-as-single-largest-party/articleshow/78624118.cms|access-date=2020-10-12|website=The Times of India}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|25 September 2020 | |||
|ABP-CVoter | |||
| {{Party shading/BJP}} |141-161 | |||
| 64-84 | |||
|Colspan=2| 13-23 | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;">'''20–40'''</span> | |||
|<ref name=":1">{{Cite web|date=2020-09-25|title=Bihar Elections 2020 ABP Opinion Poll: Bihar Wants Nitish Kumar As CM Again, Huge Win Predicted For NDA|url=https://news.abplive.com/news/india/bihar-elections-2020-abp-opinion-poll-nda-likely-to-win-big-nitish-kumar-looks-set-for-fourth-term-1348381|access-date=2020-09-30|website=news.abplive.com}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
| colspan="2" rowspan="3" |[[Exit poll]] | |||
| | |||
|- | |||
|Times Now-CVoter | |||
|116 | |||
|120 | |||
|1 | |||
|6 | |||
| style="background: grey; color:white" |{{nowrap|HUNG}} | |||
| rowspan="4" |<ref>{{Cite web|date=2020-11-07|title=Clean Sweep to Neck & Neck: What Each Exit Poll Says for Bihar|url=https://www.thequint.com/news/politics/cvoter-my-axis-india-jan-ki-baat-bihar-exit-polls-predictions-tejashwi-yadav-nitish-kumar-nda-mahagathbandhan-all-surveys|access-date=2020-11-09|website=TheQuint}}</ref> | |||
|- | |||
|ABP News-CVoter | |||
|104-128 | |||
|108-131 | |||
|1-3 | |||
|4-8 | |||
| style="background: grey; color:white" |{{nowrap|HUNG}} | |||
|- | |||
|'''Election Results | |||
| '''10 November 2020''' | |||
| | |||
|'''125''' | |||
|'''110''' | |||
|'''1''' | |||
|'''7''' | |||
| style="background:{{party color|Bharatiya Janata Party}}" |<span style="color: white;">'''NDA'''</span> | |||
|} | |||
==2021 State Elections (West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam)== | |||
May 2016 saw elections in Bengal, Assam, Tamil Nadu and Kerala. CVoter was the only one of five polling agencies to predict the Tamil Nadu outcome correctly.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/elections-2016/tamil-nadu-elections-2016/news/cvoter-is-only-exit-poll-to-get-it-right-in-tamil-nadu/articleshow/52343239.cms|title=CVoter is only exit poll to get it right in Tamil Nadu - Times of India|website=The Times of India}}</ref> | |||
==2016 United States elections== | ==2016 United States elections== | ||
The UPI/CVoter poll | The UPI/CVoter poll wrongly predicted a [[Hillary Clinton]] victory in the [[2016 United States presidential election]].<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/national-international/quick-dirty-guide-polls-2016-elections/2016837/|title=A Quick and Dirty Guide to Polls for the 2016 Election}}</ref> When the results were declared [[Donald Trump]] won the election. | ||
{| class="wikitable" | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" | |+ [[2016 United States presidential election]] | ||
|- | |||
! Agency !! Prediction !! Actual Winner !! Prediction accuracy | |||
|- | |||
| UPI/CVoter || [[Hillary Clinton]] || [[Donald Trump]] || {{cross}} Wrong | |||
|} | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable mw-collapsible mw-collapsed" | |||
! Poll source | ! Poll source | ||
! Date | ! Date | ||
Line 516: | Line 1,230: | ||
==2014 Indian general elections== | ==2014 Indian general elections== | ||
CVoter carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/|title=Business News Today: Read Latest Business news, India Business News Live, Share Market & Economy News|website=The Economic Times}}</ref> It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. Initially India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.<ref>{{cite news|title=India Today Group suspends CVoter poll following sting|url=http://www.livemint.com/Consumer/Ta5yWinl5B6tiJ0kUQw6bP/India-Today-calls-off-CVoter-opinion-poll-following-sting.html|accessdate=6 April 2014|newspaper=LiveMint|date=25 February 2014}}</ref><ref>{{Cite | CVoter carried out tracking polls for Indian news networks Times Now, India Today & India TV. A television news channel claimed in a sting operation conducted by it that some of the agencies which conduct opinion polls before elections are willing to tweak their findings for money.<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/|title=Business News Today: Read Latest Business news, India Business News Live, Share Market & Economy News|website=The Economic Times}}</ref> It included global giants like Ipsos and CVoter. Initially India Today Group suspended its CVoter contract.<ref>{{cite news|title=India Today Group suspends CVoter poll following sting|url=http://www.livemint.com/Consumer/Ta5yWinl5B6tiJ0kUQw6bP/India-Today-calls-off-CVoter-opinion-poll-following-sting.html|accessdate=6 April 2014|newspaper=LiveMint|date=25 February 2014}}</ref><ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/pollsters-ready-to-manipulate-surveys-for-a-price-tv-report/article5726752.ece|title=Pollsters ready to manipulate surveys for a price: TV report|first=Rukmini|last=S|newspaper=The Hindu|date=February 26, 2014|via=www.thehindu.com}}</ref> However the promoters of "News Express" channel called "Sai Prasad Group"<ref>{{Cite web|url=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fZxUI8Opx0k|title=- YouTube|website=www.youtube.com}}</ref><ref>{{cite news|url=http://www.samachar.com/Promoter-of-sting-channel-under-govt-probe-for-irregularities-oc0fK7efjba.html|title=Archived copy|access-date=2016-09-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20140529052219/http://www.samachar.com/Promoter-of-sting-channel-under-govt-probe-for-irregularities-oc0fK7efjba.html|archive-date=2014-05-29|url-status=dead}}</ref><ref name="business-standard.com">{{Cite news|url=https://www.business-standard.com/article/markets/sai-prasad-group-s-activities-under-multi-agency-probe-113012500058_1.html|title=Sai Prasad Group's activities under multi-agency probe|first=N. Sundaresha|last=Subramanian|newspaper=Business Standard India|date=January 25, 2013|via=Business Standard}}</ref> itself got seriously criticised for a string of money laundering cases pursued by multiple Government probing agencies.<ref>{{Cite news|url=https://www.business-standard.com/article/pti-stories/sebi-orders-sai-prasad-corp-to-refund-rs-615-cr-to-investors-116020201396_1.html|title=Sebi orders Sai Prasad Corp to refund Rs 615 crore to investors|newspaper=Business Standard India|date=February 2, 2016|via=Business Standard|agency=Press Trust of India}}</ref><ref>{{Cite web|url=https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/raipur/sai-prasad-finance-co-director-held-for-investment-fraud/articleshow/48966464.cms|title=Sai Prasad finance co director held for investment fraud | Raipur News - Times of India|website=The Times of India}}</ref> After series of inquiries and audits; the allegations were found animated and politically motivated as the Channel was supported by the ruling political party which was shown trailing badly in these opinion polls{{Citation needed|date=December 2016}}. The CVoter Exit Polls were duly carried by India TV and Time Now and all major regional networks of India{{Citation needed|date=December 2016}}. | ||
==2009 Indian general elections== | ==2009 Indian general elections== | ||
Line 524: | Line 1,238: | ||
The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.<ref name="2004 Star News-C-Voter exit poll">{{Cite web|url=https://www.rediff.com/election/2004/may/05exit.htm|title=NDA may fall short of simple majority: Exit polls|website=www.rediff.com}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=How polls got it wrong|url=http://newzfirst.com/web/guest/full-story/-/asset_publisher/Qd8l/content/the-opinion-polls-got-it-wrong-in-2004-and-2009:-will-2014-be-different?redirect=/web/guest/full%20story|access-date=2019-10-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303235332/http://newzfirst.com/web/guest/full-story/-/asset_publisher/Qd8l/content/the-opinion-polls-got-it-wrong-in-2004-and-2009:-will-2014-be-different?redirect=%2Fweb%2Fguest%2Ffull%20story|archive-date=2016-03-03|url-status=dead}}</ref> In the end, in [[2004 Indian general election]], Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138). | The CVoter exit poll projections for Star News predicted NDA getting between 267–279 and Congress+Allies between 169 and 181.<ref name="2004 Star News-C-Voter exit poll">{{Cite web|url=https://www.rediff.com/election/2004/may/05exit.htm|title=NDA may fall short of simple majority: Exit polls|website=www.rediff.com}}</ref><ref>{{cite web|title=How polls got it wrong|url=http://newzfirst.com/web/guest/full-story/-/asset_publisher/Qd8l/content/the-opinion-polls-got-it-wrong-in-2004-and-2009:-will-2014-be-different?redirect=/web/guest/full%20story|access-date=2019-10-27|archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20160303235332/http://newzfirst.com/web/guest/full-story/-/asset_publisher/Qd8l/content/the-opinion-polls-got-it-wrong-in-2004-and-2009:-will-2014-be-different?redirect=%2Fweb%2Fguest%2Ffull%20story|archive-date=2016-03-03|url-status=dead}}</ref> In the end, in [[2004 Indian general election]], Congress+Allies (UPA) got 218 (Congress 145) and NDA got 181 (BJP – 138). | ||
==Notes== | |||
{{notelist}} | |||
==References== | ==References== |